Game 7 MLB Picks Favor Underdog Giants vs. Royals

Wednesday, October 29, 2014 3:16 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 29, 2014 3:16 PM UTC

After last night's trampling of the San Francisco Giants, the MLB betting odds for Game 7 of the World Series are favoring the Kansas City Royals. Find out what this handicapper is recommending.

I thought we made a great World Series bet when we played San Francisco to win the series, laying (-125) last Friday, prior to Game 3.  After all, Game 1 winners in recent World Series have gone on to win the championship 14 of 17 previous years.  When the Giants swept the weekend series by a count of 16-4, it set up a situation that has resulted in 27 of 41 World Series victories for Game 5 winners in a series that was tied 2 games apiece.  Regrettably, that series bet is not such a good deal, knowing that the Game 7 price finds the Giants to be a (+120) underdog.  I still like an MLB pick on the Giants to win the championship, but would not increase the wager, if you are holding San Fran for the series. 

Going into Tuesday night, it appeared that the offensive momentum had switched to San Francisco.  They had tallied 44 runs in their previous 8 games, yielding positive momentum with runs of 11-4 and 6-2.  Meanwhile, the Royals had scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of their 7 previous contests.  But, the current form of Ventura over Peavy and the inspired hitting of the Royals resulted in a 10-0 embarrassment for San Francisco, forcing this Game 7.

It is a pitching matchup that finds San Fran veteran, Hudson, pitching in the MLB odds underdog role against Guthrie.  Guthrie has pitched his best ball of the year since mid-September.  Kansas City has won all 5 of his starts since that time.   Those starts have spanned 30 1/3 IP, in which he has allowed just 6 runs and 19 hits.  That includes a 3-2 Royals’ victory in Game 3 of the World Series.  In that game, Guthrie worked 5 innings, allowing 2 runs on 4 hits. 

The current form of Hudson is not as impressive.  Though the Giants have gone 2-1 in Hudson’s 3 post-season starts, he has allowed 8 runs on 18 hits in 19 1/3 IP (but the 15/1 KBB IS impressive)!  That includes a 3-2 loss to Guthrie and the Royals, in which he worked 5 2/3 IP, allowing 3 runs on 4 hits.  Must acknowledge that his vast experience is a major plus!

A more honest and thorough analysis of the pitching matchup must include the probable participants in the late innings.  That will include a matchup of the Royals’ 3-headed bullpen of Herrera, Davis and Holland (each available to pitch 2 innings) vs. San Francisco ace, Madison Bumgarner, who is available to pitch in relief, after his Game 5 (5-0) victory Sunday night.     

Free MLB Picks: In the final analysis, I favor the experience of San Francisco Giants (+130 YouWager), who has won 2 of the 4 previous titles and the combination pitching of Hudson and Bumgarner against KC starter Guthrie and the Royals’ bullpen trio.

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