After a couple indifferent outings with MLB picks, I swept the board this past Tuesday and am 5-1 the last two times I have gone mano-a-mano with the sportsbooks betting odds.
I would like nothing better as a MLB baseball handicapper than to continue to satisfy your hunger for winners and with today’s MLB picks, definitely should have a shot.
Rockies vs. Phillies: Big Price Tag on Hamels and Phillies
There are certain teams with certain MLB betting odds that you just know who is pitching before even looking. When King Felix pitches for Seattle or Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke is throwing for the Dodgers, all you need to see is the number. The same holds true for Philadelphia and Cole Hamels (5-3, 2.98 ERA). Whether you were using Wagerweb.ag or another wagering outlet, it hardly mattered, with this Phillies team, them being favored at -170 on the money line was a big enough red flag.
Hamels got off to another slow start, but has put it all together on multiple levels. The lefty has posted a 1.53 ERA over his last four starts while striking out 29 in 29 1/3 innings and those early command issues in walking three hitters per start have disappeared, with five bases on balls over his last four outings. Hamels inability to properly spot his pitches led to seven balls over the fence in his first three starts and since only one gone in seven outings.
Granted, this is a lot lumber to use with Philadelphia, but Colorado is 2-8 versus LH starters, has dropped 21 of 26 at Citizens Bank Ballpark and Hamels is 11-3 if his team is off two more consecutive defeats since last year. (Phillies record)
MLB Pick – Philadelphia -170
Rays vs. Orioles: Orioles Counting on Gonzalez at Home
Manager Buck Showalter might want his team to do aerobic exercise before the series lid-lifter after yesterday’s makeup doubleheader to get their energy level up. Today’s players and managers hate doubleheaders but that is the way it goes sometimes and you have to deal with it.
The AL East is loaded with mediocrity and this weekend is a chance for Baltimore to make a stand. The Orioles have the same number of losses as Tampa Bay and both are just one loss behind first place New York, with the Birds having played fewer times.
Tonight, Miguel Gonzalez (5-3, 3.83) will toe the slab for the O’s and he has a 2.57 ERA in five starts against the Rays since the beginning of last season. Gonzalez has also shown a preference to pitching at Camden Yards where he is 4-0 in five starts with a solid 2.95 ERA. The right-hander could be catching Tampa Bay at the right time being on a five-game losing streak. Baltimore is a -122 home favorite and they and Gonzalez are 21-7 under the lights in Crap Cake City.
MLB Pick – Baltimore -122
Pirates vs. Padres: San Diego Ends Pirates Winning Streak
Pittsburgh has been surging, winners of seven straight and their once languid offense has given way to a bountiful bunch of sluggers, averaging 6.6 RPG and hitting .319 in the process.
Last night the hit parade continued with 11 runs on 15 base-knocks in opening game triumph over San Diego. And while it may be crazy to bet against a team which has produced 10 or more hits in eight of their past 10 battles, I will call for the Padres to temporarily slow the Bucs with James Shields (6-0, 3.75).
The right-hander has a 2.70 ERA in his past three starts and is among the major league leaders in strikeouts (82) and percentage of swings and misses (32.4). Shields lone weak spot has been the gopher ball, with 15 allowed already, but I think he keeps it in the yard and moves to 13-2 versus teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs a game the last two seasons. (Team's Record)
MLB Pick – San Diego -110 at GTBets.