Friday's MLB Picks on the Money Line Feature Home & Away Faves

Doug Upstone

Friday, June 5, 2015 2:10 PM UTC

Friday, Jun. 5, 2015 2:10 PM UTC

The betting odds are out for baseball today, they have been looked at and broken down by many MLB baseball handicappers and are being prepped for release as sports picks for today.

The same hold true for yours truly and while I thought the board was pretty tough, here is my top three  MLB picks for Friday.


Pirates Steal Another one on the Road
This is what the Pittsburgh Pirates look like when hit! Pittsburgh has won 11 of 13 and if you have been using them for MLB picks you are very pleased to have picked up +9.10 units. This hot streak has the Pirates going off the script of the past two seasons, with a half dozen of the wins coming against winning teams, when they normally pound bad opponents and are .500 against the rest.

Approximately two weeks ago on these pages I said for Pittsburgh to turn around what was beginning to look a lost season, Andrew McCutchen needed to up his game and go on a Bryce Harper tear. Ask and you shall receive as the outfielder is batting .467 with 10 extra-base hits and 11 RBIs in that span and is at the forefront of the Bucs averaging almost 5.4 runs a contest.

Pittsburgh’s last stop on their 10-game road trip is in Atlanta and they will utilize Charlie Morton who is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA since returning from hip surgery. Morton will have to deal with an Atlanta lineup which averaging 7.4 RPG in their last five outings, yet have only one three times due to bullpen failures. The Braves will send Williams Perez (1-0, 2.66 ERA) to the hill and he’s been a pleasant surprise since sliding into the rotation last month, but his job will not be easy either with the Pittsburgh is swinging the bats and McCutchen in his last 11 appearances at Turner Field is batting .350 with a dozen rbi’s.

The MLB odds have the Pirates as -120 favorites and while this contest might be competitive, when the game is turned over to the bullpens, Pitt has a decisive edge and is 14-4 with a hot pen whose WHIP is under 1.25 in their the last 15 games which becomes the difference.

MLB Pick – Pittsburgh -120 at The Greek

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Toronto Holds Off Houston
The Astros have the best road record in the big leagues at 15-8 (+9.5 units) and they head north to Toronto who returns home where they are only 14-12 (-1.0). Despite this, places like Wagerweb, who guarantees next day payouts, has the Blue Jays listed as -130 favorites and here is why this number is accurate and why they win.

The Toronto offense is about to explode, having nine or more hits in seven of their past eight contests. Astros starter Roberto Hernandez (2-4, 4.92) has seen his ERA climb allowing 24 hits and 14 runs, in less than 17 innings over three starts. This provides the Blue Jays a real opportunity.

Toronto starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez (4-4, 3.88) is making the transition from reliever to starter and the 22-year old is figuring what he needs to do with a 3.15 ERA in last three starts and is at 2.84 at home this season. With Hernandez 6-15 versus an AL team with an on-base percentage .330 or worse since last season (Team's Record), the Jays fly way with the win.

MLB Pick – Toronto -130 at Wagerweb

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Minnesota Conquers Milwaukee in Rare Role
In interleague action we have two clubs who used to be in the same division when Milwaukee was in the AL, now they don’t play as often, but still meet frequently as neighboring states.

Minnesota is in first place in the AL Central and has been the finest wager in the game at +17.8 units. This sets an intriguing dichotomy because Milwaukee is the best fade team in the majors at -17.7 units. Given the differences in the teams here is where things seem off kilter.

Sportsbooks have the Twins as -140 favorites and this will be only the eighth time out of 53 tilts Minnesota will be favored compared to the Brewers who in spite of an 18-36 record have been favored 19 times.

Under manger Paul Molitor (former Brewer), the Twins play smart aggressive baseball and they have set up a strong home field edge at 19-7 and will use the best pitcher tonight in Kyle Gibson (4-3, 2.61). Milwaukee has batted .232 while averaging 2.8 runs during its 2-9 latest down turn and is 13-30 against RH starters.

MLB Pick – Minnesota -140 at Bookmaker

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