Joe C. Record: 77-81 -25.92 Units
The Deficit is Crumbling!
Granted, it’s a large deficit, but we’ve been nailing one pick after another, as I told you the month of June is when you really become familiar with the betting trends. We had an easy victory at Coors Field with an 'over' 10.5 and the Chicago Cubs swept the Mets; it was an easy and effortless day. Let’s keep the momentum in our favor was we sort out the picks.
Los Angeles Dodgers (31-30) at Colorado Rockies (28-31): Coors Field
If something is working for you, you run with it. In this case, Coors Field is allowing a ton of runs despite high totals provided by the odds makers. Yesterday, the Rockies were defeated again by the Arizona Diamondbacks 12-7. Colorado might be losing, but these games are filled with tons of home runs and offense.
Troy Tulowitzki’s 2nd Home
Coors Field is basically Tulo’s 2nd home. I explained to you yesterday the disparity between Tulo hitting away from Coors, and at home; it’s simply amazing. He’s hitting well over .500 at Coors Field this season, and right on cue, he goes 2-for-4 with a home run.
Of course, eventually he’ll have a bad game at home, and with Hyun-Jin Ryu (6-2, 3.09) pitching for the Dodgers, it come tonight. Ryu could shut down the Rockies offense, but until I actually see it, I’m still riding the 'over,' which is 10 runs.
Los Angeles is coming off of a low-scoring 2-1 loss to the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday, but this is still a team packed with power and the ability to get on base in the form of Hanley Ramirez, Adrian Gonzalez, Yasiel Puig, and Matt Kemp. The Dodgers should have no problems scoring runs in the Coors air against the pitching that the Rockies are sending out.
Free MLB Pick: Los Angeles/Colorado 'Over' 10 at 5 Dimes
Houston Astros (26-35) at Minnesota Twins (28-30): A Different Phil Hughes
Maybe it was the pressure of playing in the spotlight of New York, but ever since Phil Hughes has left the Yankees he’s pitched well. So much, that he went back to Yankee Stadium, and actually defeated the Bombers in 8 innings pitched in which he allowed 2 runs, and 3 hits. Could this be the same Phil Hughes that couldn’t even make it out of the 4th or 5th inning for the Yankees?
The Twins offense has also responded as they’re 14th in the league in runs and 9th in on-base percentage. Minnesota, just 2 games below the .500 mark, can smell .500 and beyond.
Aside from respectable hitters like Brian Dozier and Josh Willingham, Oswaldo Arcia is beginning to make a name for himself, and is the Twins hottest hitter. He’s hit home runs in back-to-back games in which he was a collective 4-for-7 with 3 runs, 2 HR and 8 RBI.
This won’t be a cakewalk for Minnesota; Houston has won 7 out of its last 10 games, and send starter Dallas Keuchel ( 6-3, 2.70) to the mound. Keuchel has allowed 4 runs once, and in his other 9 starts of the season, hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in a ball game.
This could be a real pitcher’s duel at Target Field.
My heart says go with Hughes, but Keuchel has been brilliant. Let’s take 'under' the 7.5 – 103 which 5 Dimes has offered. I’ve been laying less juice lately, and it’s worked out well. Let’s continue to go that route with our MLB picks.
Free MLB Pick: Minnesota/Houston 'Under' 7.5 -103 at 5 Dimes