It’s been a rough few weeks of player props picks. As soon as we get back going in the right direction, we take a couple steps backwards. In times like this you have to change your strategy, and that’s what I’m doing tonight with a rare, but valuable team prop on the Baltimore Orioles.
Right now there are sportsbooks that have the Orioles with a team total of 5 ½ tonight, but at Bovada they are kind enough to offer up 4 ½ on a team that might go up to 6 runs tonight. The O’s are up against Joe Biagini and his 5.40 ERA tonight, and the O’s starter/reliever has been anything but good in the second half.
Biagini has allowed hitters to post a .361 wOBA in the second half of the season, and while his ERA has dropped compared to the first half, he has started to slip some after putting on a string of good efforts from the pen. In his first start since way back on July 2, Biagini allowed five earned runs on just 3.2 innings, and we could get more of the same tonight from the O’s.
Baltimore as a team has been on a tear over the last week or so, and their offense has been a big reason for this. Toronto broke a six-game winning streak for the Orioles yesterday, but the Birds still put up 8 runs. Over their last 11 games, Baltimore is averaging 6.8 runs, and they are averaging 7.5 runs per game over their last eight games.
The wind doesn’t look like it will play a factor tonight at Camden Yards, so I am taking the over and the chalk for the Orioles to get five or more runs tonight.Free MLB Pick: OVER 4 ½ (-140)Best Line Offered: at Bovada