Free Picks for Friday's Tigers vs. Padres

Jeff Grant

Friday, April 11, 2014 12:01 PM GMT

The San Diego Padres have struggled at the plate in the early going, but they’ll likely do just enough in the late innings to pull out a series-opening victory against the Detroit Tigers Friday. How are the MLB odds shaping up, and where do we think the value lies?

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this interleague matchup at Petco Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.

 

Closing the door
Detroit has compiled a 5-2 record through seven games despite its bullpen carrying a 5.66 ERA, with closer Joe Nathan entering the weekend with a 12.27 mark in four appearances.

The Tigers have won seven of nine meetings against the Padres, but the two teams haven’t played each other since 2008.

MLB handicappers will find that the squad is 19-33 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 the last two-plus seasons.

 

Inability to score runs
San Diego has scored just 20 runs in its first nine games this season, which is starting to become the norm for a franchise that builds its roster to compete in its pitcher-friendly ballpark.

The Padres are 10-for-75 with runners in scoring position, but those numbers may improve against tonight’s opposing starter that allowed foes to hit .321 in that situation a year ago. 

In its last 38 opportunities at home with a money line of -100 to -125, the team has produced a 21-17 record.

 

Porcello
Tigers starting pitcher Rick Porcello (1-0, 1.35 ERA) earned a 7-6 home victory over the Baltimore Orioles last Saturday, as he surrendered one run and three hits over 6.2 innings of work.

The right-hander was 7-5 with a 4.09 ERA in 17 road games (14 starts) in 2013—serving up 11 home runs in 88 frames.

Porcello has compiled a dismal 7-11 record and 6.30 ERA in 24 career appearances in April, as he prepares to face the Padres for the first time.

 

Cashner
Padres starting pitcher Andrew Cashner (0-1, 2.25 ERA) has received just three runs of support in his two outings, as he looks to bounce back from a 5-0 road defeat to the Miami Marlins last Saturday.

The right-hander put together a 5-4 record and 1.95 ERA in 13 home appearances (11 starts) last year—issuing just 13 walks and striking out 52 batters in 78.1 innings.

Cashner will be making his first lifetime appearance versus the Tigers.

[gameodds]3/261635/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds] 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Padres as one of their MLB picks tonight, as the Tigers have dropped four of their last five interleague road games.

MLB Pick:  San Diego Padres -105