Free MLB Picks: Underrated Gausman Brings Great Value To Orioles

Charles Stark

Monday, June 20, 2016 11:00 AM GMT

Monday, Jun. 20, 2016 11:00 AM GMT

Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Orioles but is 0-4 on the season so should he even be favored in this spot? Check our betting overview of the game and the free MLB Pick.

The MLB Odds have Baltimore a -113 favorite. The number has already gone up a little bit but for me and my MLB Pick today I will back Baltimore laying the small number. This is good value I think on the better team across the board.

 

Baltimore Orioles
Kevin Gausman takes the mound for Baltimore and comes in with a 4.14 ERA and 1.30 whip with Baltimore hitting .259 as a team. I believe he is a little bit better than his numbers so far this season as he has mostly struggled against some of the best hitting teams in major league baseball like Boston and Detroit to name a couple.

He is coming off his worst performance of the year allowing six earned runs off of seven hits and three innings against Boston so this puts him in a decent bounce back spot in my opinion. As well, if he does happen to struggle Baltimore can come in with one of the best relief staffs in the American League caring a 3.05 ERA.

At the plate the Orioles are one of the better hitting teams in baseball averaging 4.75 runs per game which ranks them eighth in the league as well as ranking fourth in total bases and OPS. They should get a lot of opportunities to score today against a struggling Derek Holland who takes the mound for Texas. Baltimore came out as a favorite under -110 and there is a reason why it is now over that number at most places.

 

Texas Rangers
Derek Holland gets the start and comes in with a 5.14 ERA and 1.35 whip. He has really struggled this season and in his last three starts he's allowed 11 earned runs in just 15 innings. He has recently been giving up the long ball pretty consistently which could be a problem today against the number one ranked team in the major leagues in home runs per game. Offensively Texas ranks sixth in runs per game, eighth in batting average, and ninth in hits per game.

Across the board they're solid offensively but they only rank in the middle of the league in on base percentage. This play today though is mostly based on their poor pitching so far this season. Holland has had his struggles and if Baltimore gets to him, in which I think they will, than the Orioles get to face one of the worst bullpens in major league baseball.

Currently, Texas relievers have a 4.84 ERA which ranks them second to last in the American League while allowing batters they hit .275 which ranks them third. Don't expect any pitcher today for Texas to keep Baltimore down in the run column.

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Free MLB Pick:  Orioles -113
Best Line Offered:  at Pinnacle

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