Free MLB Picks: Twins Will Continue Their Losing Streak As They Face Indians

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, May 13, 2016 1:38 PM GMT

Friday, May. 13, 2016 1:38 PM GMT

This is a battle between AL Central rivals, in which Cleveland enters with a 16-15 record, while the Twins at 8-25 are the worst team in the AL. Get my MLB pick and game preview inside.

Minnesota Twins (Nolasco) vs. Cleveland Indians (Tomlin)
The Minnesota Twins visit the Cleveland Indians for the opener of a three game weekend set on Friday, May 13th. The game is slated for a 7:10 eastern first pitch. This is a battle between AL Central rivals, in which Cleveland enters with a 16-15 record, while the Twins at 8-25 are the worst team in the American League.

Minnesota enters on a 7 game losing streak after their 9-2 home loss to Baltimore on Wednesday night. Now, they must take to the road, where they are 2-15 (easily the worst road record in MLB). In their most recent 4 losses, the Twins have scored just 8 runs, with a .192 BA. Sending Ricky Nolasco to the mound is not the answer. Nolasco has a 4.70 ERA for the year, including a 7.00 ERA in his most recent 3 starts. The last of those starts saw him last just 5 IP, allowing 7 runs in a 10-4 loss to CWS. Nolasco certainly will not be comfortable against this Cleveland lineup, as he has posted a 5.45 ERA in his previous 6 starts against the Tribe.

Cleveland got a break from the schedule maker, with a day off on Thursday after playing 16 IP in a loss to Houston on Wednesday night. The good news for the Tribe is that Tomlin takes the mound for the Indians. Not only is he 5-0 with a 3.72 ERA for the year, but he has pitched his best following a Cleveland setback. In fact, he is 12-0 with a 2.82 ERA when pitching following a Cleveland loss. This year, Tomlin has carried over his success from the end of last season. Dating to last August, in his previous 14 starts, he is 12-1 with a 3.26 ERA.

 

Betting Analysis
Eventually, Minnesota is going have a winning streak, which will lift them above their current .242 winning pace. Remember that 90% of the teams in MLB win 40-60% of their games. But until that happens, and in the face of their 7 game losing streak and 2-15 road record, there is only one side to consider in a pitching matchup that clearly favors Tomlin over Nolasco, and sees the #11 ranked Cleveland bullpen with a .622 OPS be far superior to the 27 ranked Minnesota bullpen with a .793 OPS.  I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Cleveland Indians tonight. 

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Free MLB Pick: Indians -148
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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