Free MLB Picks: Rockies vs. Reds Game Promises A Slug Fest!

Drew Martin

Thursday, June 2, 2016 7:00 PM GMT

The offenses of the Reds and Rockies are rolling right now, so runs will be aplenty in the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball, so consider this when placing your MLB Picks.

John Denver famously sang a song entitled “Rocky Mountain High,” a title that might be a perfect description of tonight’s run total when the Colorado Rockies host the Cincinnati Reds in the fourth and final game of a series that has been an exciting, back-and-forth, offensive spectacle. The Reds jumped out to a closely fought opening game victory in game one, which was followed by a blowout where the Rockies rebounded to demolish the Reds 17-4. Last night, the Reds notched a 7-2 win to go up in the series two games to one. The offenses of the Reds and Rockies are rolling right now, and considering that each of tonight’s starting pitchers have struggled to produce productive outings, runs are likely going to come in bunches in the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball.

Alfredo Simon, who currently owns the highest ERA in all of Major League Baseball with at least 30 qualifying innings, gets the start for the Cincinnati Reds in what could be a nightmare scenario. The 35-year-old Dominican sports a 9.60 ERA with a 1-5 record. Even when looking at his ineffectiveness over the entire season, things have gotten worse in recent weeks for Simon. The Reds’ starter has been abysmal of late, having given up 18 runs and 26 hits over 13 1/3 innings in his last three outings, and he lasted just four innings Saturday when he surrendered three runs and three hits in a 7-6 win at Milwaukee. In this particular matchup, the numbers aren’t any better, as the right-hander is 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA in two starts against the Rockies.

Now Simon, and by extension the Cincinnati bullpen, takes on the tough challenge of containing the hottest lineup in baseball. The Rockies have the highest team OPS in MLB over the last week at .961. Leadoff batter Charlie Blackmon was a bright spot with two hits Wednesday, but the rest of the Rockies offense was uncharacteristically quiet after totaling 25 runs and 30 hits in the first two games of this series. Former LSU Tiger DJ LeMahieu is batting .389 over a 10-game hitting streak, and even though Carlos Gonzalez had his four-game home run and nine game hitting streak come to an end last night, Blackmon and LeMahieu reached base safely early. The hits extended streaks for both of them, as last night marked the 27th consecutive game Blackmon has reached base safely, and LeMahieu’s hitting streak is now at 11 games.

The Reds offense has been heating up as well over the past week, having posted the 6th highest team OPS in MLB. Since totaling 12 runs and hitting .159 in a seven-game stretch during a season-high 11 straight defeats, NL Central-worst Cincinnati (18-35) has averaged 6.3 runs while batting .290 with 12 home runs over its last six. Billy Hamilton went 3-for-5 with two doubles and two RBIs, while Jay Bruce hit his 11th home run. Hamilton is 7-for-13 with three doubles in this series, while Bruce is 8-for-21 with three homers in his last five games.

Rockies’ starter Eddie Butler is a former 1st round draft pick, but he has not been able to put it all together at the Major League level, especially at home. Butler has given up eight runs his last two starts, and has yet to show the ability to go deep into games. Both starters do not project to make it deep into this one, and with the Rockies bullpen getting smacked around, and the Reds bullpen sporting the single worst bullpen WHIP in baseball, an offensive showcase is likely. For an MLB Pick, I recommend a wager on the over offered in MLB Odds tonight a mile high in Denver.

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Free MLB Pick:  Over 12 -120
Best Line Offered:  at Bookmaker