Free MLB Picks: ML & Total Deserve A Look As Red Sox Take On Yankees

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, August 10, 2016 2:21 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 10, 2016 2:21 PM UTC

The Boston Red Sox are 10-4 their L14 games against their heated AL East rival, the New York Yankees, and with lefty Drew Pomeranz getting the pill on Wednesday night against righty Nathan Eovaldi in a nationally televised Game 2, backing the Carmines is the MLB pick here.

N.Y. Yankees vs Boston Red Sox  
The New York Yankees (56-56) and RHP Nathan Eovaldi (9-8) are scheduled to face LHP Drew Pomeranz (8-9) and the host Boston Red Sox (61-50) in Game 2 of this 3-game series. Offshore sportsbooks have opened up the Red Sox as big -167 Home favorites (5Dimes) with the Bronx Bombers +160 underdogs with the Total (Runs) in the game at 9½ (Over -111, 5Dimes). The Run Line  MLB odds have Boston -1½ priced at +110 with New York +1½ runs at a -130 (5Dimes). 

In Game 1 on Tuesday night, the Red Sox defeated the Yankees, 5-3 as Rick Porcello improved to 15-3 with the win at Fenway Park as the Carmines snapped a small 2-game Losing streak. The scheduled Probable Starting Pitchers for the series finale in Game 3 on Wednesday (7:10 p.m. EDT/4:10 p.m. PDT) are Michael Pineda (6-10) for New York and RHP Steven Wright (13-5) for Boston.


New York Yankees
The New York Yankees (90/1 to win World Series, GTBets) always find a way to have a winning Record in the Regular Season but 2016 may present quite the challenge for Manager Joe Girardi and the Bronx Bombers who have had an amazing 24 straight season finishing above .500 but are right at the .500 mark (56-56 mark) heading in here. And with Carlos Beltrán (Texas Rangers) now gone, veteran slugger Alex Rodriguez retiring and Apathy running amuck, this may be the season that illustrious streak comes to an end. 

In Tuesday night’s series-opening Loss in Beantown, the Yankees—who have now alternated Wins and Losses 9 straight games heading into Wednesday—had a Staring Lineup of: LF Brett Gardner, CF Jacoby Ellsbury, 1B Mark Teixeira, DH Brian McCann, 2B Starlin Castro, SS Didi Gregorius, 3B Chase Headley, C Gary Sanchez and RF Aaron Hicks with Luis Severino getting the getting the call for the Yankees (40/1 to win AL, GTBets) and going 4.1 IP, allowing 5 Runs (all Earned) on 7 Hits. Gardner (2 Singles, Double) and Headley (2 Doubles) were the only Yankees with multiple Hits. Rodriguez will reportedly return to the Yankees lineup on Thursday night for the series finale in what will be his last game in Fenway Park. New York is 52-60 on the Run Line and has gone 4-7 in its L11 and 24-32 on the Road this Regular Season.


Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox (15/1 to win World Series, GTBets) and Manager John Farrell can still win the AL East (Red Sox 21/10 to win AL East, Marathon), but Boston’s only path to the Postseason may end up having to come in the form of a Wild Card berth. And after Tuesday’s 5-3 win, the Red Sox (603 RF-515 RA, +88 RD) were in prime position to grab a Wild Card berth with the Detroit Tigers (61-51) ½ game behind the Carmines and the charging Seattle Mariners (58-53, W4) 3 games behind the Red Sox (35-25 at Home). 

In Boston’s Win over longtime rival New York at Fenway Park on Tuesday night, Boston Manager Farrell had a Starting Lineup of: RF Mookie Betts, 2B Dustin Pedroia, DH David Ortiz, 1B Hanley Ramirez, CF Jackie Bradley Jr., 3B Travis Shaw, SS Brock Holt, C Sandy Leon and 22-year-old Rookie LF Andrew Benintendi with Rick Porcello (8.0 IP, 7 Hits, 2 ER) getting the Start for the Red Sox and striking out 6 in getting his 15th victory. Veteran Pedroia (2-4, 2 Doubles, 3 RBI) and Golden Spikes Award winner and University of Arkansas product Benintendi (3-3, 2 Singles, Double, 2 Runs, 3 RBI) the only Boston batters with multiple Hits. The Red Sox are a beige 6-5 over their L11 games.


Starting Pitchers Report Card
Yankees Starting RHP Nathan Eovaldi (9-8, 4.80 ERA, 97 K’s, 1.32 WHIP) has been knocked around in three lifetime starts here in Fenway Park, registering an ERA of Green-Monsterish 5.94 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP—although somehow going 2-0 in high-scoring affairs—you can see why oddsmakers have opened the line so high and why the Total here in this game has been set at 9½ (Over -115, 5Dimes)—the 26-year-old Houston native Eovaldi is a big reason why as well as the smallish confines of this historic MLB ballpark playing its part as well. Lifetime against Eovaldi, Boston batters who have done decent is Ramirez (.421, 6 RBI, HR), Betts (.313), Holt (.333), Pedroia (.385) and veteran slugger Ortiz (333). So with the game at Home in Boston and the Red Sox needing the Win for both their AL East chase as well as for maybe a Wild Card spot.

Boston Starter Drew Pomeranz (8-9, 3.09 ERA, 136 K’s, 1.16 WHIP) will be making his 5th Start with Boston and will still be looking for his first Win, so with Eovaldi having such a high ERA at Fenway and the 27-year-old Pomeranz still the new kid in town (after coming over from the San Diego Padres), it seems it may be good for the Over and the Over is 7-1 the L8 times Home Plate Umpire Brian Knight has been behind the dish and the Home team is 6-1 both the L7 Knight games behind Home Plate and 6-1 the L7 Knight games behind Home Plate on Wednesdays. 

And the Over is 4-1 the L5 Eovaldi Starts against the Red Sox (54-57 on Run Line), but the Under is now 5-0 the L5 meetings in this series after Game 1 on Tuesday went Under the posted Total (9u, BetDSI). Against scheduled LHP Starter Pomeranz, Yankees Batters have only had limited Plate Appearances with Ellsbury going 3-for-5 (.600), Gardner 2-for-6 (.333) and veteran switch-hitter Teixeira 0-for-7 lifetime against him. In his last Start, Tennessee-native Pomeranz allowed 2 Runs on 4 Hits in 6.0 IP against the Mariners. So, a mixed bag.


Boston Weather Forecast and Side, Total and Team Trends
The Weather Channel Forecast for Boston on Wednesday night is currently calling for scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, a Low (Fahrenheit) of 74°, SW Winds of 10-20 mph with 84% Humidity, so there could be a Delay and the Rain and the heavy wind could definitely play a part in the scoring in this Game 2. The big Trends here are the aforementioned fact the L5 in this renowned series have gone Under and that the Red Sox (6/1 to win AL, GTBets) are an impressive 10-4 the L14 against New York after the 5-3 win in Game 1 on Tuesday. 

Another powerful looking Trend here is the fact the Under is 6-0 the L6 Boston games against the AL East, the Under is 48-22-2 the L72 Yankees games against the AL East after Tuesday’s finals scoreline, the Under is 16-5 the L21 New York games played on Grass (Fenway Park) and the Under is also 15-5 the L20 Yankees games against a team with a Winning Record and the Under is 17-7 in the L24 Yankees games overall.

Some Side Trends: New York is 0-5 in the L5 Eovaldi Road Starts but 10-4 the L14 Eovaldi Starts against a team with a Winning Record while New York is 1-6 in its L7 Road games, the Bronx Bombers are 2-6 in the L8 Eovaldi Starts and the Yankees are 6-14 their L20 against a LHP Starter. And Boston is just 1-9 its L10 against a RHP Starter but 13-5 its L18 against a starting RHP with a WHIP above 1.30 (Eovaldi, 1.32 WHIP). So this seems like a tough call, especially with the Yankees alternating Wins and Losses in their L9 and a Win due here. But Boston needs the Win and with southpaw Pomeranz having such a low WHIP (1.16) and the game being in Fenway Park, the MLB pick here is with Boston with the Total Trends (5 straight Unders in series) also making the Under worth an equally weighted small play.


MLB WEDNESDAY PICKS: Red Sox -167, Under 9½ +101 at 5Dimes

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