Free MLB Picks for Mets vs. Phillies

Ross Benjamin

Monday, June 2, 2014 1:23 PM GMT

Our MLB betting odds sports picks expert breaks down tonight's game between the Mets and Phillies. Read his informative article which is concluded with a MLB free pick.

A Marathon Series
The Phillies host the Mets on Monday at Citizen's Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania with opening pitch slated for 7:05 PM ET. According to MLB odds the Mets are a -110 road favorite and the posted total is 7.5. This is the finale of a rare 5-game series with tonight being a make up for a rain out earlier this season. The Mets have taken 3 of the first 4-games in the series, including yesterday's 4-3 win in 11 innings. As a matter of fact each of the previous 3-games have gone extra innings. Altogether the teams have combined to play 39 innings over the last 3-days. These teams have seen 16 of their last 21 meetings in Philadelphia, and 30 of their last 43 overall go over the total during the last 3 seasons.

[gameodds]3/284654/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Starting Pitchers
The Mets will send ageless 41-year old veteran Bartolo Colon to the mount tonight. The right-hander has gone 5-5 in his team starts this season with a 4.73 ERA. Colon comes off an excellent outing in his last time out, allowing no earned runs in 7 1/3 innings, during a 5-0 home win over Pittsburgh. However, Colon has really struggled on the road this season posting a lofty 6.51 ERA in 6 starts. 

Philadelphia will go with a veteran of their own tonight, sending 33-year old Roberto Hernandez to the hill. Hernandez has gone 5-4 in his team starts this season with a respectable 3.91 ERA but a lofty 1.56 WHIP. Hernandez has posted a deceivingly good 2.65 ERA in his last 3-starts, although his large 1.81 WHIP in those outings is hardly indicative of being in good form.

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Mets on the Cusp of a Surge
The Mets enter tonight winners in 5 of their last 6-games. They've actually been better on the road this season (14-12) than at home (13-17). The Mets have gone over the total in all 7-games this season after hitting .240 or less as a team during their previous 7-games.

 

Phillies Continue to Struggle at Home
As a result of yesterday's lost the Phillies have started the season a disappointing 12-18 at home. They've lost 8 of their last 12 overall, and have gone under the total in just 1 of their previous 7-games. Philadelphia has gone over the total in 24 of 36-games this season when facing a right-handed starting pitcher.

 

Final Analysis
Neither of these starting pitchers have the types of numbers that lead you to believe they can give their teams 7.0 or more innings, or be effective in doing so. Due to the lengthy extra inning affairs played between these 2-teams in each of the last 3-days, both bullpen staffs are worn out. I look for this one to play on the high side.

Free MLB Pick: Mets/Phillies to go over 7.5