Free MLB Picks: Mariners vs. Yankees Three Game Series

Willie Bee

Tuesday, May 14, 2013 2:50 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 14, 2013 2:50 PM UTC

The Mariners travel cross-country to begin a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday, and SBR will follow all three games with previews and free MLB picks.


Thursday's Game Three

By: Willie Bee

We expected more offense in the middle game between the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners.  We just didn't think it would mostly come from one team...and a big chunk of it put on the board in the first inning.

All knotted up now after Seattle's win on Wednesday, the clubs will decide the set once and for all tonight with a matchup of veteran arms on the mound.  Aaron Harang gets the call for Eric Wedge and the Mariners while Joe Girardi hands the ball to Andy Pettitte for the Yanks.

New York is laden with a decent amount of chalk with most shops monitored by SBR's live MLB odds listing the Yankees in the -160 to -170 range  The scoreboard hurdle started at 8 but has since been pushed up to 8.5 runs.

Fans were still settling into their seats Wednesday night when the OVER 7.5 had already cashed.  Seattle exploded for seven runs in the top of the first, four of them coming home on a slam by Raul Ibañez who would add a second homer in the fifth, and the Mariners coasted to a 12-2 victory to even the series and set up tonight's rubber match.

The well-traveled Harang is facing the Yankees for the first time in his 12-year career, and in search of his third consecutive quality start for the Mariners, his third team since spring training opened.  The righthander has made successive 6-inning starts, allowing just two runs to both the O's and Bucs, but came away with a split in the decisions.

Pettitte bounced back from a couple of rough starts here in the Bronx by notching the dubya last Saturday at Kansas City.  The southpaw spread 100 pitches out over seven innings, allowing just two runs while striking out seven Royals in the 3-2 triumph.  His only loss at home in 2012 came against the Mariners in his May 13 season debut (6.1 IP, 4 ER, 2 HR).

Greg Gibson will work the plate for the series finale, bringing a 3-4 O/U mark into the contest.  Current forecasts call for clear skies and 72º for the start of the game, along with a slight SW breeze (out to RF).

Check out Steven Suarez' comprehensive betting lines report for today's baseball slate!


Ibañez has his sweet swing working in this series, which is nothing new for him at Yankee Stadium, but I look for Pettitte and the New York bullpen to quiet him down tonight.  The Yanks take this one to win the series.  Make sure to come back this weekend when the Toronto Blue Jays come to New York for a series with the Yankees, all three games covered here at SBR with previews and free picks.

My pick: Yankees -165 at Bet 365

Wednesday's Game Two

By: Willie Bee

In the end, it was neither a pitching duel nor a slugfest Tuesday night when the New York Yankees rallied to nip the Seattle Mariners in the opener of their 3-game series. The end result was a push for bettors play the 7 run total, sending us back to the Bronx in search of a winner on Wednesday.

MLB odds for Game 2 are very similar to Game 1's numbers that closed with the Yankees slight favorites. New York will trot Phil Hughes out to the hill carrying -115 to -120 chalk against Seattle's Hishasi Iwakuma. Scoreboard bettors are looking at a little higher total to wager with most outlets carrying a 7.5 run mark. 

We did get the pitching duel we expected between Felix Hernandez and CC Sabathia, at least while they were both in the game. But the Yankees broke through against the Mariners' bullpen to post the 4-3 victory in the end.

In addition to the dubya providing good news for the Yanks, they also got a lift from seeing Curtis Granderson make his season debut after missing the first six weeks with a forearm injury. The timing of Granderson's return was nice since New York is dealing with yet another injury to DH Travis Hafner (shoulder). 

Seattle is 6-2 in Iwakuma's eight assignments, and has won his last three starts while the righthander worked a combined 20 innings with only three earned runs allowed along with 22 strikeouts. Both losses did come on the road, however, and the Mariners lost his two outings vs. the Yanks last season, one of them in New York (5 IP, 3 ER). 

After dropping Hughes' first three starts of 2013, the Yankees have won his last four, though it took a lot of offense to get it down last Friday in Kansas City. Hughes allowed six runs before being relieved in the sixth, just one start after eight scoreless innings vs. the A's. did his best to blow two 4-run leads 

Hughes is 3-2 over his last five starts vs. the Mariners with a 3.89 ERA in 32.1 innings, and has had his share of troubles against Dustin Ackley (5-for-10) and former teammate Raul Ibañez (2-for 2, HR). 

Alan Porter is behind the plate on Wednesday with a 6-1 O/U mark this season. The lone UNDER came last Friday in Boston where Jon Lester tossed a 1-hit shutout for the Red Sox. There is a chance for rain in the NYC area today, but it's supposed to tail off by game time when the thermometer will be in the mid-60s with a 10 mph west wind (RF corner to LF corner). 

I like more runs tonight than we saw in Game 1, so my play will be on the OVER. A preview and free MLB pick for the series finale in LA between the Dodgers and Nationals is also just a click away.

My pick: Mariners-Yankees Over 7.5 (-115)



Tuesday's Game One

By: Willie Bee


No rest for the weary, or in this case the New York Yankees who continue a grueling stretch of 16 games in 15 days Tuesday against the Seattle Mariners. The good news is Joe Girardi's club is back home after seven days and eight games on the MLB highway. 

Even better news for fans and baseball bettors is Game 1 of this set is a matchup of aces, as Felix Hernandez and CC Sabathia square off against each other for the first time in their careers. Opening numbers had Sabathia and the Yanks laying -115 to -120, with a 7 run total that leaned UNDER. The moneyline has inched down a bit into the low -110's while some baseball betting outlets have dropped their total to 6.5. 

New York was originally scheduled to take Monday off at the end of a weeklong road trip through Denver and Kansas City, but instead the Yankees had to work overtime with a doubleheader makeup in Cleveland forced by a soggy series roughly a month ago. The Yanks dropped the opener 1-0, but came back to split the day and maintain their lead in the AL East. 

The Mariners did enjoy a day off on Monday, and used it to travel back to the Eastern Time Zone where they were last week in Pittsburgh and Toronto. Home in Seattle this past weekend, the M's took two of three from the A's and have won six of their last nine to begin this set in the middle of the AL West ranks. 

King Felix Shoots For Fifth Straight Dubya

All hail the King! Felix Hernandez leads the American League with a 1.53 ERA, is second only to teammate Hisashi Iwakuma in WHIP, and checks into Tuesday's game with a solid 56:8 strikeout-to-walk ratio. 

In search of his fifth consecutive victory, Hernandez spun a 2-hit shutout the last time he took to this mound and will be looking for his third straight win over the Yankees tonight. 

Sabathia missed out on a chance to pick up his fifth win of the season last week in Colorado when a rain delay limited the big guy to just four innings. The southpaw went the distance in his only assignment vs. Seattle last year, striking out 10 would-be hitters, and will be looking for his ninth straight triumph over the Mariners, a span that includes a tiny 1.20 ERA in 60 innings.


Under Trends Aplenty In Series & Pitching Duel

The Yankees hold a 220-173 advantage over the Mariners all-time, including their meetings in the 1995 ALDS and 2000 ALCS. New York has won the season series each of the past five years, including six of nine clashes in 2012, and nine of the 15 games played at the new park off 161st Street. 

Four of the six contests at Yankee Stadium last season ended with 6-2 scores, three times in favor of New York, with the betting totals working out to 1-4-1 O/U/P.

It's still jacket weather in New York where temps will be in the mid-50s during this contest. The good news it the forecast calls for clear skies on Tuesday, and we'll worry about the rest of the week when we get to Games 2 and 3. 

We've seen this before, big battle of aces with everyone expecting a 2-1 game, and then both get popped in some 9-7 slugfest. But betting the UNDER has been a boon when Hernandez (1-6-1 O/U/P) and Sabathia (2-5-1) take the mound, and I'm not going against that despite the low hurdle.

My pick: Mariners-Yankees Under 7 (-110)

Don't get away from SBR without taking in the preview and pick in Game 2 of the series in Los Angeles between the Dodgers and Nationals. 

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