Free MLB Picks: Giants Will Fly By Cardinals To Cash Your Ticket

Doug Upstone

Friday, June 3, 2016 1:00 PM UTC

Friday, Jun. 3, 2016 1:00 PM UTC

First place San Francisco is on a roll, while St. Louis tries to build on recent momentum and match how well the Giants have been playing in this collusion of talented clubs.

Manager Bruce Boche's crew has won 17 of 21 to open up the 5.5-game lead in the NL West. The Cardinals have won four of last six on the road and pulled to within 1.5-games of second place Pittsburgh in the NL Central.

As good as San Fran has been playing, St. Louis has a superior run differential (+58 to +28) and tonight we have an exceptional pitching matchup.

This MLB handicapper has hit six in a row here for MLB picks, taking record to 15-9 and is No.3 in baseball. Let's delve into this intriguing matchup.


Pitching Matchup - Cueto vs. Wainwright
After appearing quite vulnerable in picking up World Series ring with Kansas City, Johnny Cueto (8-1, 2.31 ERA) has returned to previous form and has a minuscule 0.92 ERA over his last seven starts, all San Francisco victories. The right-hander seems more comfortable in his new role of No. 2 starter behind Madison Bumgarner and is expertly spotting his fastball around the strike zone and has the biting slider again along always deceptive change-up. One issue for this contest, Cueto has 5.71 ERA at Busch Stadium and he's lost five of past six decisions to the Redbirds.

Adam Wainwright (5-3, 5.71) feels he turned a corner is his three recent starts. In his first eight outings of the year, his ERA was the worst of his career at 6.80, as the righty's velocity was down on fastball and cutter and usual command of nasty curve was off. In Wainwright's last trio of trips to the bump, his ERA is at 3.40. The decrease in velocity had hitters sitting on fastball and they batted .330. In the three starts since, they are at .247 batting average. Still, not everything is right, having given up three home runs last Saturday in Washington in 9-4 victory.


Offensive Overlook
The San Francisco offense has not had to do a great deal during this hot streak, with domineering starting pitching. However, of late, the Giants have averaged five runs per contest in their last nine tries and this diverse collection of hitters has clutch hitters and down the lineup and is fourth in on-base percentage at .333, right behind St. Louis in the NL.

The Cardinals have the second-highest scoring offense in the senior circuit at 5.4 RPG, right behind the Chicago Cubs (5.5). One difference about this St. Louis offense from others most recently is their ability to strike quickly, ranked second in homers with 72. The club can score from anywhere on skipper Mike Matheny's lineup card, with nine different players having at least six bombs, led by Brandon Moss with 10.


Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers
The MLB odds have the visiting Giants as -109 favorites with total Ov7. San Francisco has taken five of nine at Busch the last couple years and total has been a dead heat at 4-4-1. Surprisingly, both bullpens have been run of the mill in the NL, with the Cards eighth, with a 3.89 ERA, followed by San Fran at 4.09.


Game Outcome
Both teams bring a lot of positives to this showdown and though Cueto has seen his problems at this location, he's in top form and oddmakers have made San Francisco a favorite for a reason and they are 18-11 on the road this year. Off yesterday's 6-0 win at Atlanta, the Giants are 18-3 after a triumph by six runs or more.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2991810, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free MLB Pick:  Giants -105
Best Line Offered:  at GT Bets

comment here