Free MLB Picks For Phillies vs. Braves

Philadelphia Phillies

Charles Stark

Thursday, September 29, 2016 6:34 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 29, 2016 6:34 PM UTC

As we inch closer to the postseason in major league baseball there are still games to be played that are meaningless and under the radar. In some of those games you can find value and I think we have that today when the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Atlanta Braves.


Philadelphia Phillies
Jeremy Hellickson gets the start for Philadelphia and comes in with a 3.78 ERA and 1.17 whip but a 4.08 ERA this season versus the Braves. Although he has not pitched particularly well against Atlanta on closer look he has actually been better than what his numbers show. For example, in his last matchup versus the Braves he gave up four earned runs in six innings but that was just off of five hits and the damage was done not until the fifth inning giving up a three-run home run to Matt Kemp. Over his last 10 starts, he has been decent against pretty much everybody except for the New York Mets in which he allowed 11 earned runs in just eight innings over two game stretch. Outside of that though his numbers are good and he is coming off one of his worst outings of the year so for me this puts him in a good bounce back spot to pitch well in his last opportunity this season, just look at the MLB odds which pretty much show the same.


Atlanta Braves
Josh Collmenter takes the mound for Atlanta and comes in with a 4.19 ERA and 1.34 whip but will be making just his third start this season after being acquired from Arizona. Collmenter has a really solid career 3.53 ERA and 1.18 whip in 202 appearances. However, he hasn't been used much as a starter this season and although he has won both of his starts for Atlanta he has given up three home runs in 12 innings. Like Hellickson, I'm sure he will come in and try to finish the season on a good note but this is all about the value and while the Phillies are not any type of offensive powerhouse they do rank better than Atlanta across the board at the plate. In fact, the Braves rank last in almost every important offensive category.


Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves  
Oddsmakers have come out making Philadelphia a +115 underdog or better at most places. For my MLB pick I'm going to grab them at the best value I can like at Bookmaker, where you can get a 50% Free Play Bonus. This is a game that is a true coin flip so go ahead and take a shot with a Philadelphia team that has the better statistics and arguably the better pitcher on the mound.


Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia +124
Best Line Offered:at Bookmaker
July/August record: 30-23-2
September record: 15-19-1

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