Free MLB Picks: Dodgers Dominate Arizona Yet Again

Saturday, July 16, 2016 2:22 PM UTC

Saturday, Jul. 16, 2016 2:22 PM UTC

The Los Angeles Dodgers still have hopes of catching San Francisco in the NL West, while those betting baseball have more immediate goals, like can L.A. knockoff the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight?

The Dodgers are getting healthier, which they hope can close the gap against the Giants, but more importantly they want stay right where they are as the No.1 wild card team, to assure they make the playoffs.

Arizona on the other hand is arguably the most disappointing team in baseball at 38-53 (-16.4 units). The D-Backs are far and away the major's worst home team at 15-33 (-25) and have been outscored by a whopping 1.3 runs per contest at Chase Field.

For MLB picks, where should your money be in middle game of series? Read further and see if I can continue churning out winners and better 28-14 record on the diamond.


Pitching Matchup - McCarthy vs. Bradley
This will be Brandon McCarthy's (2-0, 2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP) third start of the season since coming off Tommy John surgery. The right-hander and former Diamondback gave up three earned runs on three hits, walking three and striking out six over five innings in last Saturday's 4-3 victory over the Padres. After the contest he complained of having no feel for any of his pitches. McCarthy has been oft-injured throughout his 11-year career, but does throw strikes and generally keeps the ball down in the zone.

Three years ago Archie Bradley (3-5, 4.64, 1.41) was one of the most prized prospects in baseball. These days, still at only 23, he trying to be a sufficient big league starter and scuffling to do so. Since being hit the jaw with a line drive last season, he's not been the same pitcher. Bradley walks a batter about every other inning (30 free passes in 64 innings) and struggles with consistent location. The rest of this season might determine if Bradley is with Arizona in 2017.


Offensive Numbers
Not unexpected, Los Angeles is a better scoring road team than home team, playing away from the dense air of Dodger Stadium and tallying 4.7 runs a contest. Rookie Corey Seager has been the best shortstop in the National League and has been batting around .300, leads the team in home runs with 17 and among the leaders in runs batted in. However, once this club drops to sixth slot on lineup card, way too many - 1,2,3 innings or missed opportunities with runners in scoring position.

Arizona's averages 4.5 RPG and when you look at the numbers Jean Segura (.309 BA), Paul Goldschmidt (.417 OBP and 61 RBI's) and Jake Lamb (.372 OBP and 62 RBI's) are putting up, you wonder how the Snakes do not average 5 runs a game. The fact that they do not tells the story as to what is wrong with this offense. Like the Dodgers, the ammunition is bunched in one area and not enough spread around.


Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers
The opening MLB odds at Intertops had the Dodgers at -155, with total of nine. Los Angeles is 5-2 this season against Arizona and taken 16 of 23 about a block from Alice Cooper's restaurant. Thus far the total is 6-1 OVER this season between these rivals. Ballparks aside, the L.A. bullpen is flat out superior with 2.88 ERA while the D-Backs languish at 4.58.


Game Outcome
It was another crummy start by a Snakes starting pitcher on Friday and the bullpen only made it worse in Arizona's 13-7 loss. If you survey the complete pitching situation, it is very similar to last night's contest, making Los Angeles a decided favorite. With the Dodgers winners of four in a row and the D-Backs having fallen five straight times, I will back L.A. with the home team 3-12 with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last five games this season.

Free MLB Play - L.A. Dodgers -153
Best Line Offered:  at The Greek

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