Free MLB Picks: Cranky Rangers vs. Tired Yankees

Willie Bee

Tuesday, June 28, 2016 12:09 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 28, 2016 12:09 PM UTC

After playing into the wee hours of Tuesday morning to complete the series opener, make the best of the Rangers and Yankees tight MLB odds for tonight's second game.

Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees
Rain delays generally suck, especially when they take place on Mondays which also suck. You probably won't hear the Texas Rangers complaining much about the two delays they experienced in Monday's series opener at the New York Yankees, however, especially since the second one might have provided an assist for their 9th-inning rally and 9-6 victory.

It was almost three o'clock this morning before the clubs finished the first of their 4-game set, meaning we could have some tired, cranky ballplayers for tonight's (7:05 PM ET) contest. The double-lefty mound duel pits Cole Hamels against CC Sabathia, and the moneyline slightly favors the Rangers with a -116 price at Pinnacle. MLB odds for the tilt vary for the total, some shops favoring the 'over' on an 8 run mark and others leaning 'under' on 8½.

The start of last night's game was delayed about 25 minutes, and then delayed almost four hours just after the top of the ninth inning got underway. That second delay came with the Yankees leading 6-5 and fireballer Aroldis Chapman on the mound. When the game resumed, Chapman was out and Texas mounted a 4-run rally. It was the 4th-straight win for the Rangers in New York, three of those contests going 'over' the totals.


CC Seeking Revenge From Earlier Loss In Texas
Texas has been the hottest team going in the Junior Circuit since late-May, going 25-7 to build a double-digit lead in the AL West. This long road trip to close June and begin July will test the Rangers with follow-up stops in Minnesota and Boston after this long set in the Bronx, the series against the Red Sox a quick rematch after Texas took two of three from them in Arlington this past weekend.

Hamels has been one of the big reasons for Texas' surge this month, dropping just one of his five starts while pitching to a sub-2.00 ERA in nearly 35 frames. The Rangers are 11-4 when the lefty takes the hill, good enough to put nearly seven units of profit into the pockets of baseball bettors. Hamels has done very well on the road, fashioning a 1.64 ERA away from the Lone Star State and Texas winning five of his seven assignments. But he hasn't been great in two career starts on this mound, allowing seven runs in 11 innings.

New York has won a few more than lost in June, playing very streaky baseball along the way. The offense has received much of the blame, and rightfully so with the Yankees ranking in the bottom third of the AL in runs scored and dead last in OPS.

Until his start last Wednesday vs. the Rockies, Sabathia had been cooking along at a remarkable clip with a 0.81 ERA over the course of seven assignments beginning in May. Colorado cracked on the southpaw, however, chasing him to an early shower one out into the fifth having already scored six runs (5 earned). He dropped a 3-2 decision to the Rangers in Texas in late-April, and is 5-2 with a 5.87 ERA against them in 10 starts since joining the Yankees in '09, two of those assignments coming in the 2010 ALCS.


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
I'm certainly not blaming Monday's rain on the umpires, but the fact this is a mishmash crew might have been behind them waiting an extraordinary amount of time to get the ninth inning in. All four field arbiters started with other crews to begin the season, and have recently been thrown together. Paul Nauert works the dish this evening, bringing a level 7-7 O/U record into the match, home teams also running 7-7 when the Louisville native calls balls and strikes.

A slight chance of rain still lingers in the Big Apple forecast, but nothing like we saw Monday leading one to wonder why the umps didn't just suspend Game 1 and pick it up before tonight's contest. Catching a break like that should help Texas, especially with Hamels on the mound, and that's the way I'm going with my free MLB pick.

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Free MLB Pick: Rangers -116 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle
Season: 33-28 (+6.35)


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