Free MLB Picks: Bumgarner Looks to Quiet Red Sox Batting Crew

Jay Pryce

Wednesday, June 8, 2016 12:37 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jun. 8, 2016 12:37 PM GMT

A pair of left-handed aces square off in San Francisco on Wednesday, as Madison Bumgarner and the Giants host David Price and the Red Sox. Check out our free MLB pick.

Boston Red Sox (34-24) – David Price (7-2, 4.88 ERA)
The red-hot Xander Bogaerts slapped a game-winning, two-run single in extra innings last night to give the Red Sox a 5-3 victory over the Giants in the first of a five-game road swing for the AL East club. Perhaps the victory was expected. Boston has won five of its last six in San Francisco with pitching the difference-maker. Yielding 1.7 runs on 6.2 hits per game during the stretch, manager John Farrell calls on ace David Price tonight to continue the run tonight. Let's check the MLB odds now!

After an inconsistent beginning to his Red Sox career, Price has settled down over the last calendar month. In his last five outings, the southpaw has lowered his ERA from 6.75 to 4.88, averaging two earned runs in 6.2 innings per start. Price is 0-1 with a 3.06 ERA in two career outings against the current NL West leaders, and has yet to command the hill at the pitcher-friendly AT&T Park.

The Red Sox lead MLB in a slew of offensive categories. They are first in runs per game (5.88), total bases (17.36), batting average (.292), hits (10.43), OPS (.843) and more. Farrell’s squad has faced its fair share of struggling arms this season, going 11-1 with 7.8 runs on 12.7 hits per game against opposing starters carrying a 1.60 WHIP or higher. They face much tougher tonight.

San Francisco (35-25) – Madison Bumgarner (7-2, 1.91 ERA)
Last night’s defeat snapped a five-game home win streak for the Giants. Skipper Bruce Bochy taps Madison Bumgarner to get the team back on track. San Francisco is 8-0 in the ace’s last eight outings overall, he and the pen allowing just 2.4 runs on 7.6 hits per game during the stretch.

Like Price, “Mad Bum” has seen little of his opponent, losing his one and only outing against the Sox 4-2 way back in 2010. Also like Price, Bumgarner had a shaky beginning in 2016, the Giants losing three of his first four appearances. The southpaw has settled nicely over the last month and a half, though, giving up five earned runs total in his last seven outings. The stellar stretch dropped his ERA from 3.64 to 1.91, third lowest in the NL.

The Giants are 7-2 in Bumgarner’s nine career interleague starts versus the AL, he and the bullpen allowing 2.3 runs on 6.3 hits per game. The Giants are just 2-8 SU when he tosses against a non-divisional opponent at home averaging more than 4.5 runs per game, though. 

San Francisco is a banged-up. Starting outfielders Hunter Pence and Angel Pagan are on the DL with hamstring injuries, while former MVP Buster Posey has missed two straight with an irritated nerve in his thumb. The trio has knocked in 75 of the Giants 250 runs this season.  

 

Final Analysis
The Sox are just 1-7 SU on the road when scoring four runs or fewer this season; 14-5 crossing the plate five times or more. Mad Bum, meanwhile, has given up more than four runs in just one of his last 17 starts at AT&T Park with the Giants going 11-6 SU. San Francisco's ace will have to be at his best tonight with injuries plaguing the lineup, and his recent form suggests he'll be up for the challenge. Bumgarner has put in nine quality starts in a row, his longest stretch of superior outings since 2011. Giants -115 in the free MLB pick

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MLB Pick: Giants -113
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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