Free MLB Picks - Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore Orioles Player Hits

Charles Stark

Tuesday, September 27, 2016 12:50 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 27, 2016 12:50 PM GMT

Arguably the best matchup in major league baseball today takes place in Toronto where the Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles. Toronto has been made a decent sized favorite but is there any value in backing the Orioles?

Baltimore Orioles
Kevin Gausman starts for Baltimore and comes in with a 3.57 ERA and 1.27 whip but has got lit up versus Toronto giving up eight earned runs in nine innings pitched against them this season. On those numbers alone he has been made a pretty big underdog in this spot although his overall pitching numbers are decent. I think there is some good value in backing him today looking closer at his numbers in that over his last 10 starts he is been extremely good. In that time span, he has given up just 18 earned runs in well over 60 innings of work and only got really knocked around in two of his games particularly his last start versus the Red Sox where he gave up two home runs. For me, though this puts him in a good bounce back spot to come out and throw good ballgame against the hard-hitting Blue Jays. Since the All-Star breaks in five of his starts he allowed zero earned runs.

 

Toronto Blue Jays
Aaron Sanchez takes the mound for Baltimore and comes in with a 3.12 ERA and 1.18 whip with a 3-0 record against Baltimore. Versus the Orioles this season he has been good allowing nine earned runs in 24 innings over four starts for a 3.38 ERA. In only one of those four starts did he really get knocked around so I imagine he will come in and throw a good ballgame, however at home his numbers actually go up with a 3.93 ERA in Toronto. Value wise again though I think the smart play is going against him today because like Toronto, Baltimore can flat out hit and in my opinion, this game could go either way. As well, the Blue Jays have lost the last three times he has been on the mound.  This a huge game for both teams and I really like Sanchez and this Toronto team as a whole, but this is just too much plus money value to not go against them.

 

MLB odds
Oddsmakers have Baltimore at a +135 or better underdog across the board. For my MLB pick, I'm going to take them at +135 at JustBet sports. This a really good Baltimore team that I believe have a very good shot of winning this game but you might want to wait to see how the odds move as I'm imagining the public will back Toronto.

July/August record: 30-23-2
September record: 15-15-1

 

Free MLB Pick: Orioles +135
Best Line Offered: at JustBet

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