Free MLB Pick for Red Sox & Wright vs. Twins & Duffey On Friday

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, June 10, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Friday, Jun. 10, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Let’s review why this is a complete mismatch across the board and why we are eager to take advantage of this run line opportunity at an underdog price on MLB Odds.

The Boston Red Sox had a day off Thursday, after dropping a tough 2-1 loss at San Francisco Wednesdaynight, as the Giants’ Bumgarner outdueled the Red Sox’ Price in a battle of aces. Though Boston is just 2-5 in the month of June, they remain the most feared offensive team in baseball, as they embark on this 3-game weekend set at Minnesota.

They figure to prevail handily in Friday night’s matchup against the Minnesota Twins team, who has the worst record in the league at 18-41 and fewer home victories (11) than any team in MLB except Atlanta.

While the Twins are mired in the Central Division basement, the Red Sox enter the weekend series with plenty of motivation, as they are now 2 games back of Baltimore for the AL East lead after the Birds have reeled off 5 consecutive victories.

The Red Sox are the No. 1 team in MLB with a batting OPS of .847. That is far superior to the .700 OPS of Minnesota. In the late stages of the game, there is also a clear advantage for the Red Sox with a .688 OPS to the 28th ranked bullpen of Minnesota with a .811 OPS. 

The Twins send Duffey to the mound, whose .827 OPS for the year is actually worse at home, where he has a .893 OPS. That has translated to a record of 1-2 from this mound with a 5.92 ERA in four starts. In addition, Duffey has fallen on hard times with an ERA of 7.94 his previous 4 starts.

Knuckleballer Wright has been the leader of the Red Sox’ staff! His Top 10 starter OPS of .564 is even better on the road, where it is .521. It has translated into a strong 2.29 ERA.

The Twins enter playing their season-long brand of bad baseball on a 3-7 slide. Even though the Red Sox have been in a bit of dip, they have still scored 5 or more runs in 9 of 12 recent games. For the year to date, Boston is averaging just under 6 RPG. This has translated into 29 of 34 Boston victories by 2 or more runs.

Conversely, the Twins continue to struggle at the plate, averaging less than 4 RPG (both for the year and on this field). 15 of 19 Minnesota home losses have been by 2 or more runs With 72% of all MLB games for the year decided by 2 or more runs, including 149 out of 194(77% the last 14 days), so for our MLB Picks we comfortably lineup with the Red Sox on the run line at this underdog price offered on MLB Odds.

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Free MLB Pick:  Red Sox -132
Best Line Offered:  at BetOnline

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