Free MLB Pick for Red Sox vs. Rays 3-Game Series Wrap Up

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, April 23, 2015 2:30 PM GMT

Red Sox & Rays conclude their 3-game set at the Trop, after they split the 1st two games of the series and Rays are getting very little respect from the MLB odds makers for this rubber game tonight.

Boston Red Sox (Buchholz) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Odorizzi) (-105) 7:10 ET
The Red Sox and Rays conclude their 3-game set at the Trop, after they split the 1st two games of the series. On Tuesday night, the Red Sox defeated the Rays (1-0). That Tampa Bay loss dropped them to 1-6 on this field for the year, including 0-4 of late when they were outscored 20-7.  When the Rays trailed by 4 runs early on last night, it appeared that downturn would continue.  But, they rallied for a 7-5 victory, flashing a buy sign on the home team. Considering the pitching matchup and the fact Tampa Bay is 9-4 in this series at this site, it looks like this is a solid selection.

The Boston Red Sox appear to be a team on a rollercoaster ride, zig-zagging their way through the previous 3 seasons. 69 wins in 2012 was followed by 97 victories in 2013, then just 71 wins in an injury-plagued, chemistry bust of a 2014 season.  This year, the Red Sox are largely expected to rebound.  The 9-6 record to date validates this confidence.  Positives for those who back Boston include the fact the Red Sox are 8-1 following a defeat, dating to last year, including 4-1 following a loss this season. In addition, Boston is 45-22 in 67 road starts by Buchholz. This includes 23 scoreless innings at this site.  But, this is far from the Clay Buchholz that started for the Red Sox two years ago.  In that 2013 season, Buchholz was 12-1 with a 1.74 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and .199 BAA.  Last year, in 170 IP, Buchholz had a 5.34 ERA with 1.39 WHIP.  This year, after a trio of starts, Buchholz is 1-2 with a 6.06 ERA.  In 16 1/3 innings, Buchholz has a 1.65 WHIP. There is little reason, based on his current form, that Buchholz will continue his strong history either on the road or specifically at this site.  

For MLB odds favorite on this game, Tampa Bay, Odorizzi is a young pitcher on the rise. This season, Odorizzi is 2-1 with a 1.74 ERA.  More specifically, he has worked 20 2/3 IP, allowing just 4 runs and 14 hits with a 19/5 KBB.  His 0.68 WHIP is the best in the American League.  The Rays may prove to be just a shadow of the 90 win teams of 2012 and 2013.  This is an excellent spot to add them as your MLB pick, following their comeback win last night and today’s starting pitcher dichotomy.

MLB Pick: Take Tampa Bay Rays at BookMaker