Red Sox to Get Party Started With Win Over Dodgers in Game 1 Tuesday

Willie Bee

Monday, October 22, 2018 3:24 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 22, 2018 3:24 PM UTC

A steady diet of southpaws is what we’ll see in this World Series, and we have a free MLB pick for the lid-lifter between the Red Sox and Dodgers. Game 1 is Tuesday night in Boston.

Willie's MLB season picks record: 93-92-1 (+10.10 units)

World Series Game 1: Los Angeles Dodgers at BostonTuesday, 8:09 p.m. ET (FOX)Free MLB Pick: Red Sox MLBest Line Offered: Heritage

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The Fall Classic is finally upon us. Now, if we could just get inside Los Angeles manager Dave Roberts’ head to discover how he plans to line up his starting rotation for the matchup against the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox skipper Alex Cora has already announced his hurler for Game 1 on Tuesday, turning to Chris Sale (13-4, 2.19) to get the party started. Many believe Roberts will trot Clayton Kershaw (11-6, 2.69) out after the ace closed out L.A.’s NLCS Game 7 win in Milwaukee on Saturday. If not Kershaw, we’re probably looking at Rich Hill (11-5, 3.58), who tossed an inning of relief the previous night in Game 6. Bookmaker opened Boston as -130 chalk to win the World Series, and the Red Sox should be favored on a similar moneyline in Game 1.

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FACT: Mondays are better when you’re going to the World Series. pic.twitter.com/C8S1F6HlAP

— Boston Red Sox (@RedSox) October 22, 2018
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Does Kershaw’s Chalk Run End Tuesday?

If Kershaw goes Tuesday, then one helluva streak will end. The Dodgers have been favored the last 197 times Kershaw started a game, the streak dating to July 2012 and definitely the longest run I can recall. He has enjoyed two solid postseason starts, and one stinker in the NLCS opener. He has never faced the Red Sox. Hill started a pair of L.A. playoff wins and does have some experience against Boston going back to his days with several AL clubs. Most of that experience came out of the bullpen, however, Hill’s lone career start against the Red Sox coming in 2009 at Fenway.

Sale started Boston’s ALCS Game 1 loss to Houston, working four innings and allowing two runs. He surrendered only one hit as -125 chalk on the baseball odds board, but walked four. He’ll be working on 10 days of rest and the Red Sox are 9-5 in his 14 home assignments this season, including the playoffs, Sale pitching to a 2.33 ERA over the course of 73.1 innings.

Could Rain Interfere With Opener?

Both clubs fared well against southpaws during the regular season, and southpaws we are going to see in the first two games of this World Series. Boston went a modest 21-16 against lefties with Los Angeles a strong 40-25 in those contests. Yasiel Puig and Manny Machado are coming off solid NLCS performances, with Machado a lifetime .278 (57-205) hitter at Fenway with 8 HR. Look for either Matt Kemp or David Freese to land in the DH slot for the Dodgers. J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts have been the most consistent hitters this postseason for the Red Sox, and Martinez is 3-for-8 lifetime against Kershaw with a homer.

There is a 50% chance of rain in the late-afternoon, early-evening hours in Boston on Tuesday, though the current forecast calls for that to lessen around game time with temps in the low-50s and a light westerly breeze (out to right). After picking the Red Sox in 5, I’m not about to hedge against them with my free MLB pick for Game 1.

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