Free Baseball Picks June 10th: L.A. Angels vs Houston Astros

Angles pitcher Ricky Nolasco talking to teammates

Jay Pryce

Saturday, June 10, 2017 1:39 PM GMT

Saturday, Jun. 10, 2017 1:39 PM GMT

The Astros appear to be coming back down to earth, dropping three of their last four contests. The Angels look to capitalize on a series-opening win when the two collide in the second Saturday afternoon at Minute Maid Park. 

Los Angeles Angels (32-32)

The Angels are 6-5 SU since losing reigning MVP Mike Trout to a busted thumb. The results could be worse. Offensive production, in fact, has increased. The Halos are scoring 5.00 runs per game as opposed to 4.02 prior to the injury. Home runs are up (1.27:1.04) and the lineup is leaving less runners stranded 13.55 per game as opposed to 14.08 previously.

Success in MLB begins with strong with starting pitching. Angels manager Mike Scioscia sends Ricky Nolasco to the hill Saturday afternoon. Nolasco is 2-6 with a 5.05 ERA in 12 outings. The veteran right-hander has lost his last four decisions, and L.A. has dropped his last seven appearances overall.

Nolasco is 7-1 with a 3.75 ERA in nine lifetime starts against the Astros. Two victories occurred since being traded to the Angels at last year’s trade deadline. Each game was at Houston, and L.A. the underdog in both. They are the only wins for the Angels as road pups behind Nolasco. They are 2-6 SU in this spot, losing their last four straight.

The current Houston roster hits .297 (58-for-195) as a group, most of the numbers propped up by only three hitters with 10 plate appearances or more against Nolasco: Brian McCann (24-for-71), Carlos Beltran (19-for-56) and Norichika Aoki (6-for-26).

 Houston Astros (43-19)

After an 11-game win streak, the Astros have lost three of their last four contests, including a 9-4 defeat to the Angels on Friday night. In the last calendar month, the only way to top Houston is to outslug them. The team averages 6.29 runs per game in this span. In eight defeats, opponents have crossed the plate for 6 runs or more in all but two.

Mike Fiers gets the honors of keeping the Angels lineup in check. Fiers is looking to make the most of his second chance in the starting rotation. It’s his second outing since being reinstalled with injuries to Charlie Morton (latissimus) and Joe Musgrove (shoulder). Fiers was dropped in late May due largely to 18 home runs allowed in 10 appearances. He didn’t yield any long balls in a 7-3 win over the Royals on June 5, and picked up his second decision in a row.

Fiers is 3-2 with a 4.84 ERA in 11 starts in 2017. Houston is 15-7 SU behind the right-hander as home chalk lifetime. The staff allows 3.64 runs per game.

 L.A. Angels vs Houston Astros  

The UNDER is 17-10-2 when Houston are favorites at Minute Maid Park. The Angels, meanwhile, are 16-8 to the UNDER as road pups. Nolasco has worked two quality starts against this lineup since last September, and Fiers has kept the ball in the park his last outings. Although it wouldn’t shock to see a complete meltdown by one, each appears to overcome their demons of late. The total jumped to 9.5 after a 9 opening. Go against the line movement for your MLB picks and believe one or both staffs will keep scoring down.

 

Free MLB Pick: Under 9.5 (-105)Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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