For Baseball Totals, Saturday's Theme is OVER

Doug Upstone

Saturday, August 19, 2017 3:41 PM UTC

Saturday, Aug. 19, 2017 3:41 PM UTC

In today's world it is all about branding and creating theme's that make customers remember the product or person. For baseball totals today, that is exactly how it worked out.

In surveying and breaking down the MLB odds, either came across what looked to be several totals that could either way or those which could be higher scoring, at least by the sportsbooks odds. This helped create today's theme, which will be about a shipload of runs (modest exaggeration) in three contests.

Let's take a look at branding today - OVER Saturday - improves my 18-14 record for MLB picks on totals.

Hot Hitting in Hotlanta

This is not so much a case of Cincinnati and Atlanta tearing the cover off the ball because they have great offense, rather because for the most part either starting pitcher isn't worth a damn. The Reds thought they had a great collection of young arms and were set for the future, turns out nearly all them are in the bullpen not having starter stuff and the latest not getting the job done is Robert Stephenson (6.64 ERA). We will cut the young man some slack being a rookie, but he is 24. However, we are not cutting Julio Teheran (4.98) any slack, having pitched in the big leagues for six seasons and for some reason he's developed a phobia about new Sun Trust Park and has ERA of 7.08 there. I am seeing both 9.5 or 10 and I like the OVER either way.

Free MLB Pick - Play the Over

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Pitchers Dictate Runs in Clearwater

How could there be bountiful runs in a Tampa Bay Rays game when their offense is so bad, the franchise is reassigning blame and they took the hitting coach off salary and now have him on commission based on runs scored. (#fakenews) The Rays are in a major funk and are 14-3 Under this month, yet I see them finally breaking through, because they will be seeing the tosses of Ariel Miranda (4.75). Seattle's starter's ERA jumps to 6.25 when wearing the road uniform. Tampa's Jake Odorizzi (4.30) is not Mr. Consistency, however, he has been dependable at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career (currently at 9), with a 10-1 OVER mark.

Free MLB Pick - Play Over at Pinnacle

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Oakland and Houston Keep Scoreboard Operator Busy

Neither Kendall Graveman (4.70) for the A's or the Astros Collin McHugh (4.88) have a rhythm to 2017, as both have spent quite a bit of time on the DL. When healthy enough to start, they have each have thrown well on occasion, but also have been knocked around. Though both offenses have shown rollercoaster tendencies from game to game of late, with these pitchers scuffling and each bullpen less than reliable the last month, backing OVER 9.5 makes the most sense.

Free MLB Pick - Play Over at Intertops 

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