Focus on Run Total Odds for Yankees vs. Athletics MLB Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, May 31, 2015 12:29 PM GMT

The New York Yankees now conclude their weekend series against the Oakland Athletics and they are hoping to end it on a winning note, althought it is the home team favored on the MLB betting lines.

The New York Yankees Can Win Because…
They are going up against a team that struggles to generate offense, as seen through the bad luck of the pitcher who will go up against the Yankees in this game. Jesse Chavez is the starter for Oakland. He’s pitched well this year, but he has a 1-5 record, and this tells you why the A’s are so bad. The A’s are 3-15 in one-run games this season, a ridiculously bad record, but one which is indicative of a team that’s more than 10 games under .500 at the end of May.

Chavez keeps pitching well, and he keeps losing. So does his team. On April 23, he went six innings and gave up only one hit, but that hit was a home run. Chavez and the A’s lost the game, 2-0. On May 16, Chavez gave up two runs in six innings. His team scored only three runs and lost, 4-3. On May 21, Chavez gave up three runs in six innings, another solid performance, but his team was shut out, so Oakland’s starter had to eat a 3-0 loss to Tampa Bay. Then, on May 26, Chavez pitched as well as he had all season long. He went eight innings and didn’t even give up an earned run. However, he did give up a single unearned run, and that one unearned run beat him by a score of 1-0. David Price of the Detroit Tigers outpitched him. Chavez has been getting the short end of the stick all season, not just occasionally. He started the season in the bullpen but has quickly become a quality starter for the Athletics. He regularly performs well, but he just can’t buy any support. The Yankees can shut down the A’s bats and give Chavez another headache.

You should also know that New York starter Adam Warren went 6 1/3 innings and gave up only one run on two hits in his last start. He is in good form entering this contest.

 

The Oakland Athletics Can Win Because…
They have the better starting pitcher in this matchup, no matter what else might factor into this game. It’s true that defense and hitting are important, but at the end of the day, Chavez, with his 2.44 ERA and a track record of consistently good performances, is far better than New York starter Adam Warren, who checks in with a 3.91 ERA. Warren was strong in his last start, but he has pitched six complete innings or more on only three occasions this season. In a recent start on May 20, he was good enough to limit Washington to three runs in 6 1/3 innings, but he also gave up four walks and two homers. If his control is not there in this game, and if he still has a tendency to give up the long ball, the MLB odds favored A’s will get to him.

 

Outlook
The pitchers seem fairly steady in this matchup as Warren has a 3.60 ERA this month with a 1.13 WHIP. As for Chavez, he’s actually pitched really well this season, posting a 2.38 ERA this month, but he’s actually received really awful run support. The A’s have scored just 13 runs in his last seven outings. With that in mind, go under with your MLB pick .

MLB Pick: Under at GT Bets