Final Battle of Beltway Matchup Goes to Orioles Over Nationals

Kevin Stott

Thursday, May 11, 2017 12:54 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 11, 2017 12:54 PM UTC

The Orioles have held the upper hand against Bryce Harper and the Nationals in this Beltway Interleague series, going 20-8 L28. On Thursday in D.C., with Dylan Bundy getting the baseball, backing the visitors seems the wisest approach.

Odds Overview

Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals (MASN, MASN2, DTV 640, DTV 641, 7:05 pm ET): RHP Dylan Bundy (5-1, 2.17 ERA) and the Orioles (22-10) face RHP AJ Cole (1-0, 1.50 ERA) and the Nationals (21-12) at Nationals Park in Washington, DC on Thursday in Game 4 on this Interleague Series. Sportsbooks have Baltimore -105 favorites (BetOnline) with the Total 8½ (BetOnline) and the Run Line market seeing the Orioles -1½ +130, Nationals +1½ -150 ( Baltimore won Games 1-2 on Monday-Tuesday, 6-4 and 5-4, increasing their Win Streak to 6 (33 RF-17 RA). However, the Nationals took Game 3 7-6 on Wednesday.


Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles (+2275 to win World Series, 5Dimes) headed into play Wednesday night owners of the best Record in MLB (22-10, .688) despite possessing just a +14 RD (143 RF-129 RA). In Game 2, Orioles Manager Buck Showalter had a lineup of: LF Smith, CF Jones, SS Machado, DH Trumbo, 1B Davis, 2B Schoop, 3B Hardy, RF Trumbo, C Joseph with Drew Miley starting.

Heading into Wednesday night, Baltimore (9/1 to win AL, Bovada) had W6 straight overall, on Grass and against Winning Teams with Birdland 4-0 L4 Thursdays, 16-5 L21 vs. NL East and 19-7 L26 vs. RHP. The 'Over' is 11-5-1 L17 Game 4’s for Baltimore.


Washington Nationals

The Nationals (10/1 to win World Series, always seem to play well in April and May and 2017 is no exception with Bryce Harper and Washington holding the best Record in the NL and a +50 RD (202 RF-152 RA) and the only team in The Bigs to have eclipsed the 200-run mark heading into Game 3 vs. the O’s. In Game 3 Wednesday, Nationals Manager Dusty Baker’s Starting Lineup read: SS Turner, CF Taylor, RF Harper, 1B Zimmerman, 2B Murphy, 3B Rendon, LF Heisey, C Wieters with ace RHP Stephen Strasburg getting the pill.

Washington (3/1 to win NL, Bovada) is 7-2 L9 Interleague vs. RHP, 7-3 L10 Thursdays and 39-19 L58 Game 4’s but 1-8 L9 against the AL East heading into Thursday night’s Game 3. The 'Over' is 10-3-1 L14 Nationals games vs. RHP, 11-4-1 L15 overall while the 'Under' is 33-16-5 L54 vs. Starters with WHIPs under 1.15.


Washington, DC Weather & Series Trends

The TWC forecast for Washington, DC on Thursday night looks pretty nasty with an 80% Chance of Rain, ESE Winds of 5-10 with a Low of 51°. The O’s Bundy has been impressive this season with 7 Quality starts while the Nats’ Cole will be making his second Start after allowing 1 Run and 4 Walks in 6 IP vs. the Phillies. Adam Jones and Baltimore were 6-1 L7 in the District of Columbia in this series and a powerful 20-7 L27 overall (74.1%) heading into G3 thanks to one-run victories in Games 1 and 2 with the Over 8-2-1 L11 at Nationals Park.

Washington is 0-4 the L4 games umpired by Cory Blaser while the 'Under' is 13-3-3 L19 Blaser IL games and 26-10-1 his L37 overall -- somewhat neutralizing the overpowering series Trend here along with the Rainy forecast and Pitchers’ low ERAs. With the Yankees (21-10) breathing down its neck, Baltimore should continue its winning ways against its regional rival in a MLB Regular Season which has seen both off to nice starts.

Predicted Final Score: Orioles 6, Nationals 3Free MLB Pick: Orioles -105Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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