Figure the A's to Grade Out Low in Cleveland on Tuesday Betting

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, May 30, 2017 3:50 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 30, 2017 3:50 PM UTC

After playing solid baseball and starting the road trip off with a victory, Oakland has lost three in a row and those betting baseball might be souring on the Athletics in Cleveland for Tuesday night. 

The Indians, like the Chicago Cubs, have not been close to being the same team since their World Series appearance, and the Tribe would like to build momentum and sweep this four-game series vs. Oakland. Here are all the facets to consider for Tuesday, and I will try and improve on recent 5-1 record.


Pitching Matchup: Gray Vs. Bauer

Since coming off the DL in May, Sonny Gray (2-1, 3.34 ERA) has been gathering steam and his last outing was his finest, seven innings of three-hit baseball that included 11 Ks, one walk and one run conceded to Miami. Gray has consistent low 90s fastball with good movement and a sharp-breaking curve. In five career starts against Cleveland, Gray is 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA.

Trevor Bauer (4-4, 6.30) has an unsightly ERA, yet he is making progress and if he can clean up one element, he could turn into a real asset. In Bauer's past three starts, he has 22 strikeouts and only three walks over 17 innings. What continues to hold him back is surrendering the deep shot. In nine starts the right-hander has given up 11 home runs and in just one start has he escaped the long ball this season. Against Oakland he is 0-1 with 2.89 ERA in three starts.

 Tribe Sending Signals Of Offensive Outbreak

Having seen the A's in spring training, it was clear they had offensive limitations, yet one aspect that was not evident was their power. Oakland is third in the American League in home runs and just two behind front-running Tampa Bay, and this could matter tonight with Bauer's propensity to be taken deep.

After averaging five runs a contest last season, Cleveland is only at 4.4 RPG this season, yet has shown signs of coming around at 4.9 RPG in its past 10 contests. If Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis and Edwin Encarnacion start to heat up like the weather, this will be the Indians' offense we had expected to see.


Betting Odds, History & Bullpen Numbers

At last look, most sportsbooks' MLB odds had Cleveland as -160 or more home favorite with total of 9. The Indians have won five of the last seven at Progressive Field over Oakland, with the 'under' 5-1-1. The Tribe have the best bullpen ERA in the AL at 2.22 and are also tops in save percentage. The Athletics are 10th in ERA in the league and 12th in save percentage at only 56.2 percent.


The Winner Is ...

For MLB picks, while sports bettors cannot ignore the Indians' 10-13 home record, Oakland is 11-27 on the road having lost three of four, and Gray and his fellow teammates are just 6-15 after he permitted one or less earned runs in last outing since a year ago. Have to back Cleveland here.

Free MLB Pick: Indians -162Best Line Offered: Heritage

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