Feel Comfortable Laying The Runs For Indians At Even Money Price vs. A's

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, August 22, 2016 5:11 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 22, 2016 5:11 PM UTC

Current combined run on MLB and NFL-X selections stands at 11-4. We look to continue our hot streak on Monday, as we come right back on the Cleveland Indians, as a super-surger vs. towel-tosser supreme.  

Cleveland Indians (Carrasco) vs. Oakland A’s (Triggs)
The 5 towel-tossers were, in the National League (with August records in parenthesis), Atlanta (8-11), Arizona (8-11), San Diego (8-11) and in the American League, LA Angels (5-14) and Oakland (6-13). The record of these 5 teams in the month of August is 37-60. Of those 60 losses, 43 have been by 2 or more runs. That is 71.7%, right on the MLB average for the YTD! Thus, my theory has not carried much weight … so far. But, stay tuned for future results!

One of our 5 teams, Oakland, is playing today. The A’s have certainly upheld their part with a 6-13 record in August, including 10 of those 13 defeats (77%) by 2 or more runs. Should I handicap them to lose the game, the question is whether there is YTD run line support for both teams in the contest. The answer is clearly YES, as Oakland has lost 27 of their 35 home defeats by 2 or more runs, while Cleveland has won 27 of their 32 road victories by 2 or more runs. 

While Oakland has plummeted to the bottom of the AL West standings (along with the Angels), Cleveland has continued to super surge in the American League. The Indians come off an 8-3 home stand and have posted a 71-51 record to date. That is good enough for a 7-game division lead against Detroit. They trail Texas by only 1 ½ games for the best record in the American League. 

With a team concept clearly favoring the Indians, can we find ample support in our pitching matchup tonight? The answer is clearly YES! First of all, there should be hidden credit given to Oakland starter, Triggs. His YTD shows a 0-1 record with a 4.98 ERA. But, that includes 19 relief appearances which he has a 5.76 ERA. In 4 starts, his ERA is a respectable 3.29. In addition, Triggs’ work from this mound has shown a 3.86 ERA, far better than his 5.84 ERA on the road. Yet, the numbers for his counterpart this evening are far more impressive. Though Carrasco has struggled in his initial starts in August, he had a solid return to form performance in his last outing vs. CWS. In that game, he worked 6 2/3 IP, allowing 4 ER with 11Ks. Carrasco has a solid history against Oakland, as in 2 starts last year, he posted a 1.69 ERA. Most impressively, however, is a road record by Carrasco which shows that in 9 starts, he has a 1.97 ERA.

Final Analysis
Feel comfortable laying the runs at an EVEN money price in this Super-Surger vs. Towel-Tosser matchup with a starting pitching edge. I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Cleveland Indians tonight. 


Free MLB Pick: Indians +1.5 -105
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

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