Father Time Duel in L.A. as Weaver & Padres Clash With McCarthy & the Dodgers

Jay Pryce

Thursday, April 6, 2017 2:08 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 6, 2017 2:08 PM UTC

Veteran starters Jered Weaver and Brandon McCarthy duel Thursday afternoon when the Dodgers and Padres wrap up their opening series in L.A.

San Diego Padres (1-2)

San Diego is one of the worst underdog road teams the last three seasons. Since 2014, the club is 77-130 when spotted points outside of Petco Park. When getting +155 odds or greater, the Padres are a measly 15-58 SU, returning 17 percent profit to opposing bettors.

Manager Andy Green gives the pill to Jered Weaver this afternoon. Oddsmakers opened San Diego +212 odds with early adjustments going the team’s way. Can Weaver deliver and buck the trend? He is 6-3 with a 2.66 ERA in 11 career starts against L.A. Of course, these numbers occurred in 11 Freeway Series starts during his Angels tenure, and he is far from the ace he once was.

Despite a now-Pony League fastball, the 34-year-old right-hander commanded the hill 31 times last season, finishing 12-12 with a 5.06 ERA. About of dead arm gave way in spring training, and Weaver’s velocity was up compared to last season. Still, only knuckleballers Steven Wright and R.A. Dickey recorded a lower average velocity last season according to Statcast. Weaver’s four-seamer clocked in at 84.3 mph regularly, while his entire arsenal averaged 77.5.

Logan Forsythe, Adrian Gonzalez and Chase Utley have given Weaver the most fits lifetime out of the current L.A. lineup. The trio are 13-for-39 combined with three doubles and a home run.

 Los Angeles Dodgers (2-1)

The Dodgers have won 10 of the last 11 home series against the Padres dating back to April 2013. It will need to take the finale today to secure another victory in a rare four-game stand to open the year.

Skipper Dave Roberts gives the honors to veteran sinkerballer Brandon McCarthy. McCarthy, in his 12th season, is making just his 11th start since undergoing Tommy John surgery in May 2015. His L.A. stint is going well, particularly at Dodger Stadium. The club went 8-1 overall in nine home starts last season. McCarthy and the pen yield 3.11 runs, while supported with 5.44. A bum hip last September forced McCarthy back to the DL to close out the year.

McCarthy has more wins over the Padres than any MLB team, going 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA in nine starts. The majority of the outings occurred in a Diamondbacks uniform. Nonetheless, he’s returned 62.8 percent profit to backers.

Few San Diego hitters have faced McCarthy. Erick Aybar (4-for-13) and Will Meyers (1-for-12) are the only two in the current lineup to post double-digit plate appearances. Overall, the group is hitting .262 with a .772 OPS.

The number here is too chalky to back the Dodgers on any side bet. The best value likely lies in the total. We’ll play the OVER through the first five innings. Look for one of these two aging starters to get shelled early.

Free MLB Pick: Over 3Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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