Fade the Rays as Orioles Offer Best Value ATS & Total for Saturday's MLB Picks

Darin Zank

Saturday, May 30, 2015 11:47 AM UTC

Saturday, May. 30, 2015 11:47 AM UTC

The Rays are headed in the wrong direction at the moment, with six losses in a row. Do we dare bet such a team, or play the fade?

Rays-O's Saturday Betting Odds
As of early Saturday morning Baltimore and Wei-Yin Chen could be found at around -135 over Tampa and Erasmo Ramirez, with a total of 8.5 runs on the posted MLB odds.


The Situation
JJ Hardy rapped a two-out run-scoring base hit in the bottom of the ninth to give Baltimore a series-opening 2-1 victory Friday night.

Tampa had loaded the bases with no outs in the top of the ninth, but failed to score.

So the Orioles have won three of their last four games, while the Rays, who led the AL East earlier this week, have lost six in a row.

The O's now also lead the season series with Tampa five games to two, and five of those games have played UNDER the totals.


Saturday's Starters
Lefty Chen (1-3, 3.13) is five-for-nine on quality starts this year, but 0 for his last two. Monday he gave up three runs and 11 hits in five innings against Houston, and just before that he gave up four runs and eight hits in seven innings against Seattle. Baltimore is 4-2 in Chen's last six starts, and four of his last five starts have played UNDER.

Since the beginning of last season Chen has started seven times against Tampa, allowing 16 runs through 37 1/3 innings; the O's went 4-3 in those games.

Ramirez (2-2, 6.62) is 0 for five on quality starts this year. Last Sunday he got nicked for five runs in six innings against Oakland, walking five, and just before that he allowed three runs in five innings against Atlanta. Still, the Rays have won three of Ramirez' last four starts.

Ramirez last started against Baltimore two seasons ago, when he was with Seattle, although he did throw 1 1/3 scoreless innings in relief against the O's back on May 3.


Saturday's Batting Splits
Tampa ranks seventh in the Majors this season with a .764 team OPS against left-handed pitching.

Baltimore ranks 10th against righties this season with a .732 OPS.


Saturday's Free Picks
We don't always put a lot of credence in streak betting, but in this spot we will fade the team on the six-game slide. Also, both teams are trending UNDER as of late, so we'll go along with that for our MLB picks.

MLB Picks: Baltimore -134 at 5Dimes and UNDER 8.5 runs at GT Bets

comment here