Fade the Public Tonight When Betting Jays-Yankees Run Total Odds

Ross Benjamin

Friday, August 7, 2015 12:28 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 7, 2015 12:28 PM GMT

Our MLB handicapper is coming off a perfect 3-0 day on Thursday. Join us in reading his MLB betting preview on Friday’s game between the Jays & Yankees. This piece concludes with a pick on the total.

Jays and Yankees open huge Three Game Series on Friday
The Yankees and Blue Jays open a three game series tonight. The first pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 PM ET. Division leading New York enters today with a 4.5 game lead over second place Toronto in the AL East standings. New York had gone a combined 16-1 versus Toronto during the 2013 and 2014 seasons. However, the tables have been turned a bit in 2015 with Toronto winning four of six encounters between these teams.


Starting Pitchers
Knuckleball specialist R.A. Dickey will get the start for Toronto in this series opener. Dickey has been red-hot over his previous four starts, posting an excellent 0.92 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in those outings. Dickey has fared very well when facing the Yankees in recent years. Since 8/26/2013, he’s made six starts versus New York, and had a terrific 1.12 ERA during that stretch.

Nathan Eovaldi makes his 22nd start of the season for New York on Friday. Eovaldi has quietly done a very nice job in 2015 and that’s been especially apparent recently. The right-hander is 4-0 in his previous four team starts with a more than respectable 3.70 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. The Yankees hurler will be facing a Toronto batting order today which possesses a plethora of power. The good news in that regard, Eovaldi has allowed just 1 home run over his last nine starts.


Two Red-Hot Teams
The Toronto Blue Jays enter this key divisional series on the road coming off a successful 8-2 home stand. As a matter of fact, they’ve won six in a row and eight of the last nine. Winning at home isn’t anything new for Toronto. They’ve gone a superb 36-21 (.632) at the Rogers Centre in 2015. Playing on the road has been a whole different story. The Jays are a disappointing 22-31 (.415) in away games thus far.

Since July 1st the Yankees have gone a stellar 20-8. They’ve managed to hold serve on the road (29-28) this season, and have thrived at home with a solid 32-18 (.640) record.


Final Analysis
Early action in this game has seen bettors overwhelmingly wagering on going over the total. All you have to do is look at both teams hitting resume over the past couple of weeks, and it’s easy to understand why. The Yankees we’re stymied against Red Sox knuckleballer Steven Wright on Wednesday. R.A. Dickey is certainly much more accomplished in that regard. This will be the first time that most of Toronto’s hitters will face Nathan Eovaldi in their career. It’s also worth noting, Toronto is coming off a 9-3 win over Minnesota on Thursday, and they’ve gone 17-5 under the total this season following a game in which they scored 8 runs or more. I’m going to fade the general public for one of my MLB picks on Friday. Currently Heritage has the cheapest price regarding this specific wager.

MLB Picks: Play on the Blue Jays and Yankees Under 9.0 (-115) at Heritage.

comment here