Experts Forecast A Valuable 'Over' MLB Pick In Yankees vs. Rockies

Matthew Jordan

Monday, June 13, 2016 6:18 PM GMT

It's a matchup Tuesday that hasn't happened very often in baseball as the New York Yankees visit the Colorado Rockies. The clubs have played only 15 previous games while the Yanks are -131.

What You Need To Know
New York (31-32) is only a game out of last place in the AL East Division but had a productive last week as the Bombers won five of seven, albeit losing their final two games over the weekend by a combined score of 10-2 to the Detroit Tigers. This matchup starts a six-game road trip for the Yankees; the Rockies then visit the Bronx on June 21-22.

The Yankees have struggled offensively at times this season. They are really thin at first base with Greg Bird missing the entire season due to injury and starter Mark Teixeira currently on the disabled list due to a right knee cartilage tear. The Yanks lost another first baseman last week when Chris Parmelee came up from Triple-A and hit two homers in his first start, then strained his hamstring in his second. He's also on the DL. The team is so desperate it has signed former Mets first baseman Ike Davis. The team cleared a spot on the roster for him optioning relief pitcher Chad Green. Davis hit 32 homers with 90 RBIs with the Mets in 2012 but has done little since. He hasn't played in the majors this year after getting 360 at-bats with the A's in 2015. Rob Refsnyder, who was playing second base, has been starting at first of late. The rookie is hitting just .212 with six RBIs in 33 at-bats. Davis is likely to start against right-handed pitchers as long as Teixeira is out.

The Yankees will lose the designated hitter for this two-game interleague set. That means no Alex Rodriguez. A-Rod is hitting .211 with seven homers and 21 RBIs, and frankly the team was better when he was out of the lineup due to injury.

Colorado (30-33) is third in the NL West and is going to miss the playoffs yet again. I doubt Manager Walt Weiss is back next season, if he even makes it through this year. The Rockies do enter having won two straight games and six of eight to inch back toward .500. But they lost closer Jake McGee to the DL with left knee inflammation over the weekend. McGee sustained the injury while blowing a save and allowing four runs in the ninth inning against the Padres on Friday. The team likely will use a committee of Boone Logan, Jason Motte and Carlos Estevez to replace him.

 

Probable Pitchers
New York starts right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (6-2, 4.42), a guy you hear who could be a trade candidate if the Yankees aren't in contention for a playoff spot by mid-July. He is struggling lately, however. Last time out, Eovaldi allowed five runs and a season-high-tying 10 hits in just 5.1 innings against the Angels, although he took a no-decision. It was the second straight start he lasted only 5.1 innings and gave up five earned. The Yankees are 5-0 on MLB odds in Eovaldi's past five against teams with a losing record.

Eovaldi, a former Marlin, is 2-2 with a 3.18 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies, including a 1.47 ERA in 18 1/3 innings at Coors Field. Gerardo Parra has seen him more than any other Colorado  hitter, going 2-for-13 with three strikeouts. Carlos Gonzalez is 2-for-8 with four strikeouts off him. NL MVP candidate Nolan Arenado is 1-for-4 with a strikeout. DJ LeMahieu, who leads the Rockies with a .314 average, is 1-for-9.

The Rockies start former ace left-hander Jorge De La Rosa, who has been terrible this season with a 2-4 record and ghastly 8.81 ERA. He also spent about a month on the DL. His past three outings have been in relief and De La Rosa was pretty good, allowing one run over eight innings. His most recent start was in Boston on May 24 and De La Rosa was rocked for seven runs and nine hits in 3.1 innings. De La Rosa has an 11.41 ERA in six starts this season. The Rockies are 2-7 on MLB picks in his past nine series openers.

Chase Headley has seen De La Rosa more than any Yankee, going 8-for-39 with 12 strikeouts. Rodriguez, in case he pinch-hits vs. De La Rosa, is 2-for-5 with a homer. Carlos Beltran is 0-for-9 with five strikeouts. Starlin Castro is 4-for-18 with a homer and three RBIs.

Rockies and 'over.' As usual, a Rockies home game has easily the highest total on the board.  The Yankees are 3-10 in their past 13 road games vs. a lefty starter. They are 2-8 in their past 10 after an off day. The Rockies are 4-1 in their past five against a righty. The 'over' is 5-1 in Eovaldi's past six interleague starts. The 'over' is 5-1 in De La Rosa's past six starts.

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Free MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies Over 11 +100
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker