MLB Picks: Expert Capper Predicts Over In Indians vs. Tigers

Detroit Tigers players in field

Charles Stark

Wednesday, September 28, 2016 5:43 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 28, 2016 5:43 PM UTC

Tight races seem to be the theme this season in both the American and National League as we head towards the postseason. Today we are going to look at the total for our MLB picks between already postseason bound Cleveland and Detroit. 

Cleveland Indians
Trevor Bauer takes the mound for Cleveland and comes in with a 4.26 ERA and 1.31 whip but a 6.75 ERA versus Detroit in three appearances this season. Against the Tigers he has given up 11 earned runs in 14 innings as well as 17 hits in that span. With of .288 batting average against him I expect the Tigers should come into this game with a lot of confidence. 

I was pretty high on Bauer earlier in the year but he has really struggled in the second half especially recently where he is allowed 24 earned runs in his last five starts over 32 innings. In his most recent outing against Detroit, the Tigers thumped him pretty well garnering six earned runs off of 10 hits in just over five innings of work. I have a hard time believing he's going to come into Detroit and hold down a Tigers team that has one of the best offenses in the major leagues.


Detroit Tigers
Michael Fulmer takes the mound for Detroit and comes in with a 2.95 ERA and 1.09 whip and has been hot and cold over his last 10 starts.  Fulmer has been stellar at times but has also struggled in that timeframe like allowing one earned a run in his starts versus the White Sox and Royals, zero earned runs at Texas, but then allowing six earned runs in both his starts versus Boston and then at Cleveland. The Indians have not had a lot of trouble knocking him around the season scoring 12 earned runs on 22 hits in just 16 innings against the rookie in three opportunities this season. 

At home he has been really good with just a 2.70 ERA with batters hitting just .220 against him, however, I doubt he will get out of this game unscathed against a good Cleveland offense. Expect for him to come in and limit the Indians a little bit better than he did his last outing against them but for the Tribe to push a few across the plate.


Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers
Odds makers have come out with the total at 9 across the board in this matchup but with much higher juice on the under. Believing that both of these guys will come in and bounce back from their last poor outings versus these particular teams does make sense but I'm going to grab the value and for my MLB pick take over the total of 9 like at Pinnacle, one of the best sportsbook. I like for the Tigers to have some really solid at-bats today but don't sleep on Cleveland to bounce back from yesterday.


Free MLB Pick: Over 9
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle
July/August record: 30-23-2
September record: 15-19-1

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