Expect Solid Pitching in Seattle & Back the 'Under' with Tonight's MLB Picks

Charles Stark

Wednesday, August 26, 2015 12:06 PM GMT

Wednesday, Aug. 26, 2015 12:06 PM GMT

 With both Bassitt & Hernandez taking the mound today and neither offense being particularly dominant I'm going to back under the total in this matchup today.

MLB odds
With today's pitching matchup one might assume that the MLB odds makers, considering recent performances and the game being in an American League ballpark, would make this game a bit over the total of 7 but that is the number for this matchup. At most places across the board you get this number at regular juice like at Pinnacle Sports who has under this total at -110.

 

Oakland A's
Chris Bassitt gets the start for Oakland and comes in with a 2.48 ERA, 1.03 whip, 53 strikeouts, and a 1-5 record. His record does not reflect how sharp he has been and in his last 10 appearances on the mound, nine of them starts, in his worst outings he only gave up three runs in which he did twice. In his last three road starts he has been solid giving up just seven earned runs in 20 innings, look for him to keep the Mariners in check.

Oakland ranks 17th in runs scored per game at 4.10, 22nd in OPS at .698, and 18th in batting average at .252. All their major offensive statistics go down just a little bit on the road. Today they have a tough challenge ahead of them facing a Felix Hernandez who is due to pitch a good game. Still, recently the A's have been formidable at the plate so although Hernandez should keep them down in the numbers I doubt they will get shut out.

 

Seattle Mariners
Felix Hernandez takes the mound with a 3.74 ERA, 1.23 whip, 151 strikeouts, and a 14-8 record. As mentioned he has not been as sharp lately as we are accustomed to. In his last five outings he has given up seven runs, four runs, two runs, 10 runs, and four runs. That is not the Felix Hernandez we know and this is a great spot for him to get dialed back in. He is simply too good to continue to struggle, and in less there is an injury that I am unaware of I fully expect him to be lights out today.

Seattle ranks 26th in runs scored per game at 3.83, 19th in OPS at .706, and hits for a team batting average of .244 which ranks them 27th in the major leagues. Although their OPS and team batting average do go up in Seattle their runs per game go down. In their last 10 games they have been hot and cold but expect their quality at-bats and their run total to be limited today.

With both of these teams out of the playoff race I look for pitchers to dominate the day in Seattle. I think the odds makers know this as this line easily could have been well over seven but it's not. The number tells us a lot about how this matchup probably is going to go.

MLB Pick: Back the Under

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