Expect Limited Runs is White Sox & Orioles Finale

Jose Quintana

Doug Upstone

Sunday, May 7, 2017 2:38 PM GMT

In the series finale, Chris Tillman makes his first start of the season after having right shoulder issue and seeing Baltimore is right near the Yankees for first place in the AL East, they have to feel good.

With Chicago's Jose Quintana now pitching as expected, this becomes an intriguing contest for that betting baseball and putting out those MLB picks on a daily basis.

 

Pitching Matchup - Quintana vs. Tillman

After a rotten 0-4 start, Jose Quintana (2-4, 4.10 ERA) is starting to settle in with a couple victories. What has changed for the left-hander is more strikeouts and fewer walks and he's been under less pressure to be perfect, with Chicago having scored 11 runs in his previous two outings compared to four total runs in his initial four starts. Runs or not, Quintana is throwing better quality strikes with the fastball and his breaking pitches. Quintana is 1-3 vs. the Orioles with 3.81 ERA.

Chris Tillman was plagued with shoulder discomfort in the spring and was shutdown. Now reportedly healthy, he makes his 2017 debut. Tillman is known for low 90's fastball that has good movement and he's one of those pitchers that gets in a nice groove and can put together six or seven excellent starts and then have three consecutive clunkers. He is 3-2 with 3.51 ERA against Chicago.

 

Both Offenses Have Been Running Hot and Cold

To a certain degree it is the nature of the sport, but both Chicago's and Baltimore's batting orders of late seem to reach seven runs or two, which makes them choppy to follow on the MLB odds. To date Jonathan Schoop and Chris Davis lead the regulars in on-base percentage and still providing a power bat, with Manny Machado leading the O's with eight homers.

Unless Avisail Garcia and Jose Abreu are doing the damage, the Pale Hose offense tends to stall. Garcia has cooled some from hitting .400 for most of April, but Abreu has gotten in the swing of things and doing his part for the ChiSox. They both need more contributions from others.

 

Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers

Baltimore opened up as a -130 home favorite with a total of 8.5 and everything has been shifted lower to -120 and 8. The Birds have won six of the past nine gatherings at Camden Yards and the total is 6-2-1 OVER. The Chicago bullpen has had a few lapses of late, yet still is third in the AL in ERA and has the lowest batting average surrendered. Baltimore is sixth in ERA.

 

The Winner Is...

I am going to presume Tillman will be in pretty good shape and as we talked about, Quintana is really rounding into form, which is why I will be thinking a lower scoring affair. Something in the 4-3, 4-2 area  and Chicago is 12-1 UNDER when this lefthander takes the mound.

Free MLB Pick: Under 8Best Betting Line: at 5Dimes

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