Excellent Bet for Series Finale Blue Jays vs. Yankees

Darin Zank

Sunday, July 27, 2014 12:14 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 27, 2014 12:14 PM UTC

Toronto snapped a 17-game losing streak at the Stadium with a 6-4 victory yesterday, giving us another winner with our free MLB pick on the 'over.' Let's end this series on a winning note! 

Sunday's Betting Odds
As of early Sunday morning the best line we could find on New York and Shane Greene was the -131 offered at Heritage, while Toronto and JA Happ were getting +123 at 5Dimes. And most shops were listing the total on today's game at nine runs.


Saturday Re-Hash
Toronto trailed early 2-0 but took a 3-2 lead into the ninth, then got a three-run homer from Dan Johnson, his first of the season, to ice down what became a 6-4 victory. The Jays won as +125 dogs on Saturday's MLB betting line, and the game, thanks to a combined five runs scored in the ninth, played 'over' its total of 8.5 runs.


Sunday's Starters
Greene (2-1, 2.79) is 2/3 on quality starts since joining the Big Club three weeks ago. Last time out he gave up four runs in 5 2/3 innings against Texas, but in his two starts previous to that he allowed two runs through 13 1/3 innings.

On the season, which for Greene consists of four ML appearances, he's allowed 13 hits in 19 innings, with six walks and 17 strikeouts. New York is 2-1 in Greene's starts, and all three of his starts have stayed 'under' the totals.

This will be Greene's first-ever start against Toronto.

Happ (8-5, 4.55) is 5/14 on quality starts this season, but is coming off one of his best outings of the year, after holding Boston scoreless through six innings last Tuesday. But over his three starts previous to that he allowed 11 runs through 12 innings.

On the season Happ has allowed 93 hits in 83 innings, while compiling a mediocre 68/34 K/BB ratio. The Blue Jays are 9-5 in Happ's starts, with the totals leaning toward the 'unders' by a 9-5 margin.

Happ started four times against the Yankees last year, allowing 13 runs and 22 hits through 23 innings; Toronto lost all four of those games.

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Free Pick for Sunday
We've had good luck with the 'overs' in the first two games of this series, and we see no reason to change that line of thinking for today. So we'll go with the 'over' nine runs at the +100 offered at Pinnacle for our free MLB pick on Sunday's contest.

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