Eovaldi's 5.12 ERA and Last Outing Makes Tigers Our MLB Pick Against Yankees

David Lawrence

Saturday, June 20, 2015 5:18 PM GMT

Saturday, Jun. 20, 2015 5:18 PM GMT

The Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees are moving through their three-game weekend series in the Bronx. How will these teams adjust on to what they saw from each other after Friday night's MLB betting matchup?

The Detroit Tigers Can Win Because...
They are sending their second best starting pitcher in 2015 to the mound. Alfredo Simon has been a pleasant surprise for this Detroit staff. While Justin Verlander has been hurt and Shane Greene has collapsed following a very strong month of April, Simon has held the fort. Anibal Sanchez has been up and down, leaving only Simon and David Price to shoulder the burden for this rotation. While Price has a 2.50 ERA and is pitching as well as you'd expect him to, Simon's been almost as good, registering a 2.58 ERA with the kind of consistency the Tigers were hoping for from Sanchez. Simon acquired from the Cincinnati Reds in the offseason, could have had a tough transition from the National League to the American League, but even while facing more tough hitters every time he takes the bump, Simon has improved. His career ERA is 3.70, which makes his 2.58 mark this season that much more unexpected. He threw five shutout innings in his most recent start -- he left that start only because a long rain delay took him out of the game; a pitcher's arm needs to stay warm, but the long delay made it unrealistic to bring him back. Precisely because Simon threw only five innings and only 75 pitches in that start, he should be fresher. What should also make him fresher is that since Detroit had a Thursday night game postponed due to rain, Simon will be going on five days of rest here. That's just a great situation for a starting pitcher.

The other big reason to take the Tigers here is that New York's Nathan Eovaldi has a 5.12 ERA with a 1.65 WHIP. Eovaldi got crushed for eight earned runs on nine hits in just 2/3 of an inning in his most recent start earlier in the week against the Miami Marlins. Eovaldi has given up at least seven hits in five of his last six starts. He's extremely vulnerable at this point, and with Detroit getting Thursday off due to that aforementioned postponement in Cincinnati, Tiger hitters might be fresh enough to put good swings on the ball this time.

Must Read: MLB Picks Focused on Money Line Odds as Capper Looks to Increase Record

The New York Yankees Can Win Because...
Their pitcher, while struggling right now, did really well against the Tigers earlier this season. On April 21 in Detroit, Nathan Eovaldi went seven strong innings, allowing only one run to the Tigers in a victory. He didn't give up a home run. He issued only one walk. He forced Tiger hitters to beat the ball into the ground, coercing 12 ground ball outs. He was masterful in that game, and he's going to be able to use that experience to his benefit in this game. The Tigers might have a hot pitcher, but they're not a hot team right now. Detroit lost two of three games to the below-.500 Cincinnati Reds earlier this week, and the Tigers have struggled to hit with men in scoring position. They were just 1 for 7 with "RISP" and collected only six hits in a 13-inning loss to the Reds on Wednesday. There are plenty of good reasons to go with the Yankees in this one.

Here You Can Find A World Series Future Odds Update

Outlook
The Yankees won the first series of the year between these two teams in Detroit, but as well as the Yankees have played this season, Detroit has a much better pitcher in this game. Take the Tigers with your MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Detroit +116 at GTBets

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