Elias Solid Innings & Home Advantage Make Mariners the Best Value MLB Pick Over Red Sox

Joe Catalano

Thursday, May 14, 2015 1:59 PM GMT

Thursday, May. 14, 2015 1:59 PM GMT

Red Sox starter, Joe Kelly (1-2, 6.35) has been a disaster (1-2, 6.35) thus far for Boston this season as he faces Roenis Elias who has fared a bit better. 

Joe C. Record 18-2 +15.99 Units

First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET tonight at Safeco Field in Seattle, Washington. As stated earlier, the Mariners are the slight favorite on the MLB odds as there's really no edge in this game except home field advantage and the total for the game is 7.5 runs. The total appears kind of low the way that Kelly has pitched, but Elias has been respectable and runs haven't been always been easy to come by for either team.

 

Hard Luck Loser
Maybe calling Roenis Elias (0-1, 3.86) a hard luck loser is a bit extreme as opposing batters have hit .286 off of him, but he's had 3 starts of 5 2/3 innings or longer and has given up a total of 7 earned runs in all. The Seattle offense is to blame as they haven't given him proper run support.

 

Simple Loser
Where Kelly is concerned, he's been a flatout disaster. He's had 2 quality starts out of 6 starts total and those starts were the first two starts of the season.

In the month of May, he's allowed 11 runs on 13 hits in 10 1/3 innings and has given up more walks than strikeouts. There's absolutely nothing good to say about his pitching. I have a feeling if the Red Sox were to win this game, it would be a high scoring affair and the game would come down to their bullpen.

Obviously, Elias get's the edge, but the M's need to put up some runs to help him earn the victory.

Looking for more MLB action? Don't forget to check our top value trifecta for today!

One Man Show
If the Mariners got anything out of Robinson Cano (1 HR,11 RBI,.269 BA),or Austin Jackson (2 HR, 4 RBI, .242 BA,, 5 SB), they would be a winning ball club. Unfortunately, neither has lived up to expectations for Seattle.

Jackson could improve and while Cano put up a great batting average last season, it's crystal clear that he should've stayed a Yankee as he doesn't have the power to hit the ball out in Seattle. Basically, what Cano did was eliminate himself from Monument Park at Yankee Stadium for the money. He was the best player on the Yankee squad because he was well suited for the right field porch at Yankee Stadium.This is a case of money being more important than his legacy.

 

Nelson Cruz
Nelson Cruz has been the only Mariners hitter to supply any type of offense since coming to Seattle from Baltimore. He hit 40 homers in Baltimore and has been tearing the cover off of the baseball with 15 HR, 29 RBI, and a .346 BA.

Since PED's have ruined the sport, one has to wonder is there any way that Cruz is cheating these drug tests. It's not likely, but you never know. The home run totals in the MLB have went down and that leads me to believe that Cruz is clean. Expect Joe Kelly to pitch around Cruz as he as no support in this Seattle lineup.

 

Amazing
As for the Red Sox offense, Hanley Ramirez has been holding down the fort along with Dustin Pedroia. Ramirez has 10 HR and 22 RBI's on the season. An amazing statistic that has been brought to my attention is that aside from home runs, Ramirez has no extra base hits. That's no typo, folks and Ramirez needs to improve upon that if he wants to be considered a complete player.

 

Outcome
My record will really be put to the test as this game can go either way. However, Elias has been giving the Mariners solid innings, Seattle is playing at home, and if Robinson Cano can find a way to be effective against Kelly, who has been terrible, Nelson Cruz will be waiting. You just have to make Seattle your betting MLB pick.

MLB Pick: Seattle -115 at 5Dimes

comment here