Dont Miss Out On Our All Star Break Run Line Report

Baseball MLB Betting

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, July 15, 2016 7:05 PM GMT

Friday, Jul. 15, 2016 7:05 PM GMT

This is my annual run line report at the All Star Break, in which we review the YTD numbers and specifically examine which teams we can look to play on and against, home and away, on the run line. First, let’s consider an overview. 

For the YTD, 954/1,331 MLB games have been decided by 2 or more runs, that’s 71.7%, above the 7 year average which is very close to 70%. As has been true in years gone by, road teams have greater success on the run line. This year, 75.2% of all road games, equally divided between the National and American League, have been decided by 2 or more runs. That is very close to the average of the previous 7 years. The big difference, however, has been with home teams.

While 224/335 National League home games (66.9%) have been decided by 2 or more runs, it is a gap in the American League that has made the majority difference in the YTD numbers. 255/364 American League games (70.1%) have been decided by 2 or more runs, meaning that 479/699 home games (68.5%) have been decided by 2 or more runs. That is notably higher than in previous seasons. The specific recap will be divided into 6 categories as outlined in the headings. They are as follows:


Consider playing ON these teams home/away on the run line when you handicap them to win the game
St Louis Cardinals: 39/46 wins by 2 or more runs (84.8%)
Chicago Cubs: 42/53 wins by 2 or more runs (79.2%)
Colorado Rockies: 34/40 wins by 2 or more runs (85%)
Boston Red Sox: 39/49 wins by 2 or more runs (79.6%)
Baltimore Orioles: 41/51 wins by 2 or more runs (80.4%)
Toronto Blue Jays: 41/51 wins by 2 or more runs (80.4%)


Consider playing AGAINST these teams home/away on the run line when you handicap them to lose the game
Philadelphia Phillies: 38/48 losses by 2 or more runs (79.2%)
Arizona Diamondbacks: 41/52 losses by 2 or more runs (78.8%)
New York Yankees: 36/44 losses by 2 or more runs (81.8%)
Tampa Bay Rays: 43/54 losses by 2 or more runs (79.6%)


Consider playing ON these teams at HOME when you handicap them to win the game
Pittsburgh Pirates: 18/24 home wins by 2 or more runs (75%)
Detroit Tigers: 18/23 home wins by 2 or more runs (78.3%)


Consider playing AGAINST these teams at HOME when you handicap them to lose the game
Colorado Rockies: 19/22 home losses by 2 or more runs (86.4%)
San Diego Padres: 22/25 home losses by 2 or more runs (88%)
Boston Red Sox: 16/20 home losses by 2 or more runs (80%)
Chicago White Sox: 18/22 home losses by 2 or more runs (81.8%)
Detroit Tigers: 14/16 home losses by 2 or more runs (87.5%)
LA Angels: 25/26 home losses by 2 or more runs (96.2%)
Texas Rangers: 14/15 home losses by 2 or more runs (93.3%)


Consider playing ON these ROAD teams when you handicap them to win the game
Miami Marlins: 19/23 road wins by 2 or more runs (82.6%)
San Diego Padres: 15/18 road wins by 2 or more runs (83.3%)
Tampa Bay Rays: 14/16 road wins by 2 or more runs (87.5%)
Cleveland Indians: 21/26 road wins by 2 or more runs (80.8%)
Houston Astros: 16/20 road wins by 2 or more runs (80%)


Consider playing AGAINST these ROAD teams when you handicap them to lose the game
Atlanta Braves: 20/24 road losses by 2 or more runs (83.3%)
Miami Marlins: 22/23 road losses by 2 or more runs (95.7%)

Remember, you want to handicap the game first based on proven principles. Then use the run line numbers above, which are greater than 79% overall, greater than 80% on the road, and greater than 75% at home, to isolate the best MLB picks from the run lines offered on the MLB odds to get some winners.

comment here