There’s plenty of pressure in the World Series. We’re heading to Game 5 with the Rays and Dodgers tied at 2 apiece. The loser of Game 5 will need to win two straight games to be crowned champion. Here’s my MLB Picks for tonight.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Sunday, October 25, 2020 – 8:08 PM EST at Globe Life Field
|Dodgers:||Clayton Kershaw||(6-2 2.16ERA; Postseason: 3-1 2.88 ERA)|
|Rays:||Tyler Glasnow||(5-1 4.08 ERA; Postseason: 2-2 6.08 ERA)|
Tyler Glasnow will take the hill at “home” against Clayton Kershaw of the Dodgers. We’re back to our Game 1 starters. Glasnow hasn’t looked good recently for the Rays. He was shelled by the Dodgers, as he allowed six runs on six walks and three hits with eight strikeouts in a loss.
Cody Bellinger hit his third home run against Glasnow in four at-bats. Bellinger literally has Glasnow’s number. Nobody would be surprised if Bellinger smacks Glasnow in his first or second attempt for another homer. It’s only happened 75 percent of the time these two have faced!
Glasnow was fine through the first three innings, but he allowed six runs in the fourth and fifth innings combined. Allowing the Dodgers to quickly get in front, 6-1. The Dodgers don’t necessarily strike out very often against righties, but Glasnow still had eight putouts himself against the Dodgers with his premier strikeout ability.
In the World Series, Justin Turner already has eight hits with four doubles and two home runs. He’s batting .444 in the World Series. But that’s not even the highest number on the team for starters.
Corey Seager has seven hits with two home runs and four walks. He’s batting .500 with an on-base percentage of .500. Seager has worked a walk every time he’s faced Glasnow in his career with three in three at-bats. Max Muncy is batting .333 with five runs batted in.
The Dodgers have scored four or more runs in every game against the Rays thus far. Why leave a good thing, right?
Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw will get the call for the 5th game of the series. Kershaw could still be available for Game 7 in relief with a day off on Monday.
Anyway, Kershaw has looked solid in the postseason this year after all. He’s 3-1 with a 2.88 ERA in 25 innings where he’s struck out 31 batters and allowed eight runs on 18 hits and just three walks.
The Rays really struggled to hit Kershaw in Game 1 as he allowed just two hits and struck out eight. Kevin Kiermaier has been hitting random blasts this postseason in crucial spots and had one against Kershaw in his second at-bat against.
Like many pitchers, Kershaw will struggle as he gets deeper into games, but the home runs usually come around the third, fourth, and fifth innings for him. As long as he can minimize the damage and just allow solo home runs, Kershaw should be just fine.
Justin Turner likely leads the Dodgers when it comes to World Series MVP, but if Kershaw gives the Dodgers another quality start, Kershaw would then become the MVP. And that potentially wouldn’t be all for Kershaw. If there’s a Game 7, Kershaw could make an appearance out of the bullpen for a save chance.
The Dodgers continue to score runs in the World Series behind a very good lineup. It’s a lineup that can throw premier lefties or righties at you at any given time. Batters like Austin Barnes, Chris Taylor in the nine-hole are scary. It’s a ridiculous lineup.
Meanwhile, it feels like the Rays bullpen has been overworked. Nick Anderson, who was a stud for the Rays all regular and postseason, has struggled as of late. He’s allowed a run in six straight games he’s entered.
Who would’ve thought? Glasnow has struggled, and the Rays bullpen has struggled. Kershaw has had his struggles in the postseason before but does match-up well against the Rays, as we saw in the first game of the series.
If I had to pick a winner in this game on the best betting sites, there’s no way I would fade Kershaw in this spot. This is a legacy game for Kershaw. He only went 78 pitches in his first start in the World Series and seems to be healthy again.
The MLB odds have the Dodgers as -150 favorites in some spots. In this match-up, that’s low enough for me to consider backing the Dodgers to win the third game of the series.
Also, I had already written an article before the World Series saying the Rays at +1.5 would be the play. If the Dodgers win the third game in Game 5, Walker Buehler will be pitching Game 7. If you haven’t seen his postseason stats throughout his career, go check them out.
The Dodgers, with Buehler, realistically have a chance to win in seven. I like how this is playing out for the Dodgers, to be honest.
MLB Pick to Consider: Dodgers to Win Series 4-3 (+210) at BetOnline