Dodgers vs. Brewers MLB Picks: Greinke-Garza Matchup Tips Scales in LA's Favor

David Lawrence

Tuesday, May 5, 2015 12:56 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 5, 2015 12:56 PM UTC

The LA Dodgers are moving along confidently this season, but experienced a speed bump last night with a 4-3 loss at Milwaukee. Can they get back on track and cash as an MLB betting road favorite on Tuesday night?

The Los Angeles Dodgers Can Win Because…
Favored by  MLB Odds, they are easily superior to the Brewers, and what’s more is that they’re getting things done with pitching. The Dodgers entered Monday night with a 26-inning scoreless streak from their bullpen, which is hard to beat and even more difficult to easily comprehend. That streak got broken on Monday, but it is still a sign of how talented this team is. Los Angeles is in a groove in terms of its pitching. Brett Anderson came up big with a scoreless start on Sunday against Arizona. Other less heralded pitchers are also stepping up for the team. Starters or relievers, when guys pitch well, the feeling is contagious, and that’s why Los Angeles is entering the ballpark feeling good about itself these days.

The better reason for picking Los Angeles here is that Zack Greinke will be the starter. A number two man in the rotation with Clayton Kershaw being the ace, Greinke would be an ace for most other teams in the majors. On the Dodgers, he’s content to be the number two man. He has a 1.93 ERA so far this season, reflective of great sharpness in a month (April) when pitchers are often sluggish and need to feel their way into the season. Greinke hasn’t had that adjustment process – he’s been strong from the word go. He had a decent 3.27 ERA last season against Milwaukee in two starts encompassing 11 innings. That’s really not a reason to pick against the Dodgers. If Milwaukee scores three runs in this game, Los Angeles should have enough to win, since Milwaukee starter Matt Garza has a 4.60 ERA this season. He did not pitch against Los Angeles in 2014, so current form should be the measure of these pitchers. Greinke easily wins that head-to-head comparison.


The Milwaukee Brewers Can Win Because…
They are going to realize that on Monday night, they battled back when a lot of people thought they wouldn’t. After their manager got fired, the Brewers fell behind Clayton Kershaw, 3-1, entering the bottom of the eighth inning. They could have folded, but they instead chose to fight. They scored two runs off Kershaw, chasing him and tying the game at 3-3. They then went ahead against the Dodgers’ bullpen, taking a 4-3 lead. That kind of rally could really light a fire under this team. The Brewers needed to show themselves that they could compete better, and their eighth-inning rally against the Dodgers is the kind of thing which gets everyone in the clubhouse believing that a season turnaround is possible.


The Dodgers should win, but they wobbled last night. Milwaukee should be energized in this game, but the Greinke-Garza matchup still tips the scales in the Dodgers favor. Take them with your MLB Picks.

MLB Pick: Dodgers -155 at The Greek

comment here