Dodgers-Rockies Series Finale Offers Run Line Bet Worthy of your MLB Picks

Darin Zank

Sunday, September 27, 2015 5:42 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 27, 2015 5:42 PM UTC

The Dodgers are still probably going to win the NL West, but they sure haven't been a very reliable bet as of late, Do we stick with LA for our free MLB pick tonight?

Dodgers-Rockies Sunday Odds
As of this writing the best MLB odds we could find on Los Angeles with Alex Wood was the -155 offered at Youwager, while Colorado and fellow lefty Chris Rusin were getting +154 at 5Dimes. Also, the total on today's game sat at 11 runs, which was a half-run less than the first two games of this series.


The Situation
Colorado, to our betting chagrin, has taken the first two games of this series, winning Saturday 8-6 on a Carlos Gonzalez walk-off homer in the bottom of the ninth. So Los Angeles has lost six of its last eight games.

The Dodgers' magic number to clinch the NL West remains at two; LA visits second-place San Francisco for a four-game series, starting Monday. Los Angeles also now trails the Mets by a half-game in the battle for home-field advantage in a possible upcoming NL divisional playoff series.

Colorado, meanwhile, is probably just happy being a pain in the ass at the moment.

LA still leads this season series 10 games to eight, with the OVERS going 11-7.


Sunday's Starters
Rusin (5-9, 5.39), by our strict standards, is nine-for-20 on quality starts this season, but 0 for his last three. Tuesday he gave up six runs in four innings against Pittsburgh, and over his last three starts he's allowed 15 runs through 13 innings.

Colorado is 7-13 in Rusin's starts this year, with the OVERS going 11-8.

In his one start this season against Los Angeles Rusin gave up three runs and five hits through six innings of a 5-4 Rockies victory 12 days ago.

Wood (11-11, 3.60) is only 11-for-30 on quality starts this season, four-for-ten since joining the Dodgers in that deadline trade with Atlanta, but two for his last two. Tuesday he held Arizona to two runs through 6 2/3 innings, and just before that he threw eight innings of one-hit, shutout ball against this Colorado outfit. Also, over his last six starts he's held foes to two runs or less five times.

The Dodgers are 4-6 in Wood's starts for them, with the UNDERS going 5-4-1.

Wood has (basically) faced Colorado twice this season; the first time, back in July while still with the Braves, he got clipped for seven runs in less than six innings of an 11-3 loss; but 11 days ago, as mentioned above, he held the Rockies scoreless on one hit, with zero walks, through eight frames of a 2-0 Los Angeles victory.


Sunday's Batting Splits
Los Angeles owns a .336 team on-base percentage and a .413 team slugging percentage against left-handed pitching this season.

Colorado owns a .305 team OBP and just a .359 team slugging percentage against lefties. The Rockies beat a lefty yesterday, but on the season they're still just 10-30 against left-handed starters.

Must Read: Turn Sunday's Heavy Odds Into Cold Hard Cash

Ballpark Totals Factor
After yesterday's game played OVER its total of 11.5 runs when the Dodgers scored three times in the top of the sixth, the totals are now 43-34 in games played at Coors Field this season, which are averaging 11.4 runs per, easily the most among all ML ballparks.


Injury Update
Los Angeles 1B Adrian Gonzalez missed yesterday's game with a sore back, and he's very iffy for today.


Dodgers-Rockies Free Picks
Los Angeles owns the edge in the pitching match-up, and in the batting splits, so we'll take a chance and add the Dodgers on the run line to our list of free MLB picks for Sunday.

MLB Pick: Los Angeles -1.5 (+105) on the run line at 5Dimes.

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