Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers are massive favorites for this afternoon's game in Miami. Let's check out what kind of MLB odds are on offer for game two of the series.
The MLB odds vary depending on which sportsbook you're checking out, but for the most part we see Los Angeles favored in the -230 to -235 range, with BetOnline offering up the higher -235 number right now.
It's an even wider range when it comes to the MLB odds placed on Miami's head. Some books have the number as low as +190, while others go all the way up to +215. Meanwhile, the total can currently be found at 6.5 runs across the board, which is no surprise considering we'll have Kershaw toeing the rubber.
Miami Marlins (Koehler)
As if things couldn't get any worse for the Marlins. They've lost five straight and eight of their last nine, and they were just dealt with the horrible news that Giancarlo Stanton has suffered a broken bone in his hand.
It remains to be seen what course of action Miami will take, but a trip to the disabled list seems inevitable for the slugger. Considering Stanton has been the single most dangerous hitter in the league this season, hitting 27 homers with 67 RBI through 74 games, it's a big blow for the Marlins, who are 30-45 overall on the season.
There's nothing else the Marlins can do but keep plugging away, and they'll send out right-hander Tom Koehler to the bump in hopes of ending this losing streak. Koehler is 5-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.29 WHIP and will be making his first start in close to a couple weeks after having to skip his latest assignment due to neck troubles.
Los Angeles Dodgers (Kershaw)
The Dodgers are rolling, having won three straight games heading into this afternoon. They're improved to 42-33 on the season and are now two games up on division rival San Francisco in the NL West. Even better? Now they send out ace Clayton Kershaw to the bump and are favored by a massive margin to pick up their fourth consecutive W.
Kershaw's numbers may not scream out dominance at the surface, but if we dig a little deeper we find that this is still the same guy. The southpaw currently owns a 11.79 K/9 rate, which (if the season ended today) would go down as a career-best mark, and his SIERA is all the way down at 2.34. Kershaw has an elite 32.8 percent strikeout rate and now comes up against the swing-happy Marlins in an ideal pitching environment.
The left-hander hasn't been all that impressive away from home this season, going 1-3 with a 4.22 ERA over eight starts, but he'll benefit immensely from not having to face Stanton, which makes Miami's lineup far less threatening than it already was. We should see a dominant outing out of Kershaw this afternoon.
Folks, there's a reason why the Dodgers are massive favorites for this game, and we're going to find any way we can to back them at a reasonable price.
All of the factors are lining up for a big Los Angeles win; they have Kershaw on the bump and he doesn't have to deal with Stanton, thus making the Marlins lineup one of the weakest in the majors, and the Dodgers will come up against right-hander Koehler. So far LA has been the most potent offense against righties this season, so chalk that up as another positive going their way.
There's obviously not much value in simply siding with the Dodgers on the moneyline, but we feel so confident in their chances that we don't mind rolling with the run-line in this situation. Kershaw should shut down the Marlins with little trouble and the Dodgers bats should be able to produce some runs against Koehler and company.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-135) at BetOnline