Dodgers -1.5 Over Braves is Capper's MLB Pick Today

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, July 31, 2014 12:33 PM GMT

Thursday, Jul. 31, 2014 12:33 PM GMT

Can the Braves put a halt to the recent dominance of Clayton Kershaw of the Dodgers? Read what our MLB betting odds expert has to say about the most logical sports wager you can make in this battle of elite National League teams tonight.


 

Premier NL Battle Tonight
The Dodgers will host the Braves tonight in Los Angles with the opening pitch scheduled for 10:10 PM ET.  According to MLB betting odds the Dodgers are a -215 money line home favorite and the posted total is 5.5. The MLB run-line shows the Dodgers as -1.5 (+110) on the run-line. This will be the finale of a 3-game series which has seen the Dodgers win each of the first two.

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Braves Hurler in Unfamiliar Role
The Atlanta starter Julio Teheran will be installed as an underdog for the first time in 7-starts this evening. As a matter of fact, Teheran has been a favorite in 12 of his last 13-starts, and in 18 of 22 overall on the season. His whole body of work in 2014 has been a good one, going 14-8 against the money, earning 4.0 MLB betting units versus the money line, and posting a stellar 2.71 ERA. It can be argued that he’s currently in the midst of his roughest patch of the season. In his last 4-starts, the Braves hurler has posted a lofty 5.01 ERA, and a 1.54 WHIP. He has one career start versus the Dodgers and it wasn’t a pleasant memory. That outing came during the 2013 postseason when he allowed 6 earned runs and 8 hits in only 2 2/3 innings.

 

A Brink’s Truck Pitching Machine
Clayton Kershaw will get the start tonight for the Dodgers, and labeling him as red-hot right now would be a vast understatement. The Dodgers ace has gone a perfect 10-0 against the money over his last 10-starts. During that stretch he’s posted a microscopic 0.94 ERA, and had just short of a 12:1 strikeout to walk ratio. His performance line in 16-starts this season is mind boggling, posting a 1.76 ERA, a 0.80 WHIP, a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio, and has allowed just 1-homer per 18.7 innings pitched. The southpaw was 2-0 against the money in 2013 versus the Braves with a 1.35 ERA. Kershaw has gone an unbelievable 15-0 against the money over the last 3-seasons when facing a NL East opponent.

 

Braves Hanging Tough in the NL East
The Braves enter today 2nd in the NL East just 1.5-games behind the Washington Nationals. However, after winning 9 in a row from late June to early July, they’ve gone just 9-12 over their last 21-games. Their recent sub-par performance has been a result of their bats going a bit silent. The Braves have amassed 9-hits or more in just 2 of their last 12-games.

 

Dodgers on a Modest Roll
The Dodgers enter tonight having won their last 5-games in a row. They currently lead the NL West by 3.0 games over the 2nd place San Francisco Giants. During this current 5-game win streak they’ve averaged 5.6 runs and 11.6 hits per game. The Dodgers have actually been better on the road (34-23) than at home (27-24) during the 2014 season. However, they’ve won the last 4, and 5 of their last 6 at Dodger Stadium.

 

Final Analysis
Truth be told, I love my job as a handicapper/writer for Sportsbook Review. Like with any job, you’re thrust into difficult assignments at times, and the analysis on this game is one of them. How can you ask a sports bettor to go against Clayton Kershaw right now? Contrarily, how can you ask someone to make a MLB money line wager on a favorite of -215? I just answered my own questions in a roundabout manner, and we’ll lay the 1.5 runs with the Dodgers tonight.

Free Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+115) over the Braves on the run-line

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