Diamondbacks/Padres MLB Picks: Low Total Suggests Pitcher's Duel Between Hellickson & Despaigne

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, April 14, 2015 2:33 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 14, 2015 2:33 PM UTC

The Diamondbacks picked up a relatively surprising win in the opener yesterday and will be hoping to make it two for two this evening. That being said, the MLB odds aren't in their favor whatsoever.

Odds Overview
The Padres are solidly favored at roughly -130 to get some revenge and even up the series at 1-1. Arizona can be backed at +120 or so.

Expect to see a pitcher's duel, this after 12 total runs were scored (with the OVER cashing easily) in game one of the series. Odrisamer Despaigne will start for San Diego, while Jeremy Hellickson gets the call for the visiting Diamondbacks.


San Diego Padres (Despaigne)
Many thought it would be a walk in the park for Andrew Cashner and the Padres at home yesterday, but that wasn't the case whatsoever. Granted all four of Cashner's runs allowed were unearned, but he still wasn't at his best at all. The bullpen didn't do much better either, allowing four more additional runs.

Yonder Alonso hit a solo homer in the loss, while Wil Myers and Yangervis Solarte both have multiple hits. Cashner ended up allowing seven hits and four runs (all unearned), though he did strike out nine batters in the losing decision. Cashner is now 0-2 on the year.

With Ian Kennedy heading to the DL, the Padres have decided to give Odrisamer Despaigne his spot in the rotation. Despaigne was outstanding in his one appearance this season, not giving up a single hit over 4 and 2/3 innings in a 1-0 loss to San Francisco five days ago. He came on in relief of Kennedy when he got hurt and was dazzling, and we can't wait to see if he can match that performance against the Diamondbacks. Despaigne showed some great things in 2014, going 4-7 but posting a 3.36 ERA. He's not going to wow you with strikeouts, but Despaigne can get hitters out in a hurry when he's feeling it.


Arizona Diamondbacks (Hellickson)
After taking two of three from their series against the Dodgers (on the road), the Diamondbacks carried over that momentum into game one of their matchup with the Padres, winning 8-4.

Rubby De La Rosa and the Diamondbacks were clear-cut underdogs on the MLB odds board, but showed up to play. De La Rosa allowed six hits and three runs (with five strikeouts) over six innings in the winning decision, while Arizona got a huge day at the plate from Ender Inciarte, who went 3-for-5 with a triple, two doubles, four RBI and two runs scored. The Diamondbacks made life difficult on Cashner early and never let go of the lead.

Now it'll be up to Jeremy Hellickson to keep the momentum going for Arizona. Hellickson did not fare too well in his official debut for his new team, as he gave up nine hits and three runs and wasn't even able to get through the fifth inning in a home loss to San Francisco. The environment should be a lot more favorable in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park, but should we really trust Hellickson regardless? He's been known to implode more often than not.


MLB Pick
This is a low MLB odds total, lower than what we expected to see. However, San Diego is a pitcher's haven, and Despaigne and Hellickson are both capable of shutting down opposing offenses on their day.

However, both hurlers have also shown a lot of inconsistency, and we just don't trust both to step up their game here.

Plus, the Padres have made significant upgrades to their batting order, and the Diamondbacks have guys like Goldschmidt that can make pitchers pay too. We therefore like the OVER the most for one of our MLB picks here on a busy Tuesday night.

MLB Pick: OVER 6.5 at Pinnacle Sports

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