Diamondbacks Are Solid Run Line Play at Dodgers

clayton kershaw

Doug Upstone

Friday, April 14, 2017 4:01 PM GMT

Friday, Apr. 14, 2017 4:01 PM GMT

Having arguably the most difficult schedule to start the season, Arizona has surpassed all expectations with 7-3 record and has supplied backers betting baseball with +5.4 units of profit. The Snakes visit the Dodgers on Friday. 

Obviously first-year manager Torey Lovullo has done a great job in preparing his Diamondbacks team as the players are playing hard for their new skipper. On Friday, they face a Los Angeles Dodgers team that has won the NL West five straight years. The opening game of the series has a super pitching matchup of two former teammates.

 

Pitching Matchup: Greinke Vs. Kershaw

Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw are friends from their day together on the Dodgers. "He's so competitive that if I started taking it lightly, it would be a bad game plan," Greinke told MLB.com of Kershaw. "He has a great mindset. A great work ethic. He does everything as perfect as you'd want a pitcher to do."

Grienke (2-0, 2.31 ERA) has not been especially effective in his time with Arizona, but is showing signs of being more relaxed this season, and his outstanding array of pitches have been more effective to date. Greinke is 3-2 with a 3.80 ERA in seven career starts vs. Los Angeles.

Kershaw (1-1, 3.46) had to be shocked after allowing back-to-back home runs for the first time in his career in a loss at Colorado last time out. With Kershaw, while that was stunning, you normally don't worry about the best pitcher in baseball. The left-hander takes these moments to heart and will work even harder the next time out to place his fastball in the best spots and have his deadly curveball variations working even better. Kershaw is 12-8 with a 2.75 ERA in 24 starts against the Diamondbacks.

 

Hot Hitters In What Should Be Pitchers' Duel

Arizona is averaging 5.5 RPG, led by Jake Lamb (.342 BA, 10 RBIs) and a bunch of players who have gotten off to great starts like 2B Brandon Drury (.344). Paul Goldschmidt's .270 BA is fair, but he still has a great eye and has .386 on-base percentage.

Justin Turner leads Los Angeles in batting with a .355 average, and Yasiel Puig has gone yard three times. Look for Corey Seager to have a strong series as he was robbed twice at Wrigley Field on Thursday by great catches on the center-field warning track that should have been doubles.

 

Betting Odds, History & Bullpen Numbers

The MLB odds had the Dodgers at -220 on the overnight line, and by Friday morning they had shot up to -250, with total at Ov6 (-120). Dodgers Stadium has been the a House of Doom for Arizona the last two years with a 4-15 record there. If both starting pitchers perform as expected, then it comes down to the bullpen and this is where Los Angeles has the edge, being ranked second in ERA at 1.34, with the D-Backs 11th in the NL at 4.73.

 

The Winner Is ...

For MLB picks, one can make a great case to take the Snakes at +220 on the money line, but their pathetic record at Chavez Ravine scares me off. In Kershaw's last eight home starts against Arizona, six times the difference has been one run, thus I will back the D-Backs at +1.5 (-105).

Free MLB Pick: Snakes +1.5Best Line Offered: DSI

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