Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Picks: Saturday, June 10th

Doug Upstone

Saturday, June 10, 2017 4:17 PM UTC

Saturday, Jun. 10, 2017 4:17 PM UTC

One of tonight's games on FOX has the interest of many of those betting baseball because it's a fascinating pitching matchup with two veteran hurlers who are quite familiar with each other.

For the sixth time Justin Verlander (4-4 with a 4.63 ERA) and Chris Sale (7-2, 2.89) will go head to head and each has an important mission, as Verlander wants his club to inch closer to .500 and Sale hopes his new team can narrow the gap on the first-place New York Yankees.

In that same vein, I will be trying to improve on recent 8-3 record against the MLB odds.


Pitching Matchup - Verlander vs. Sale

Last Sunday, Verlander was pulled after just 39 pitches with groin tightness. The Detroit franchise said it was a precautionary move and they gave their right-hander an extra days rest also. Verlander at 34 is not longer the power pitcher he used to be and while he still can bring the heat in the mid-90's, his command is not the same with 33 walks in 70 innings. Verlander is 5-5 with a 2.77 lifetime ERA against the Red Sox, yet is a perfect 5-0 against Sale for whatever Sox team he's played for.

Sale has won six straight decisions but he would be the first to admit he's not been thrilled with his execution. The lefty has a 5.40 ERA in his past three outings and he's left his pitches over the plate too frequently in allowing 22 hits in 18 1/3 innings. Sale is 8-8 with a 3.01 ERA lifetime in 30 games versus Detroit, 20 of which were starts.


Tigers Offenses Roars on Occasion With Red Sox Doing the Same

At 4.8 runs per game, the Detroit offense seems fine, but in losing three of the past four to slip below .500 yet again, the Tigers have only average 3.5 RPG. It is the same old problems, too many empty innings and not enough clutch hits when the opportunity presents itself to score more runs, like in last night's loss at Fenway, with 13 base-runners materializing in only a trio of runs.

Though Boston got the win, it was the first time in nine tries the Red Sox reached double-digit hits. Boston for the season has done a good job getting on base, ranked 3rd in the American League in hitting and 4th in on-base percentage, however, being last in home runs prevents this club from reaching its offensive potential and is just an ordinary choice for MLB picks.


Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers

At last look, Boston is a large -190 home favorite with the total at 9. With Friday's victory, the BoSox are 3-4 at Fenway the last few years with the Tigers in town and the UNDER is 5-2. The Sawx have a decided edge late in games, with the No.3 ERA in the AL and Detroit 14th.


The Winner Is......

Have a hard time thinking Detroit wins this game and backing Boston at this price is too rich. Though I preferred the original total of 8.5, I will take a flyer on the OVER 9, with both starting pitchers scuffling a bit and believing the Tigers pen is vulnerable, enabling 10 or more runs to be scored.


Free MLB Pick: Over 9 (-103)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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