The Yankees are a few games better than the Angels, and Los Angeles faces a slightly more difficult task in trying to catch up with its division leader, the Astros, but neither team is really at a profound advantage or disadvantage. Will one team find a spark in this game?
Neither team is doing great, but neither team is faltering in a way that will jeopardize its positioning for July and beyond. The Yankees earned a four-game road split with Houston, the second-best team in the American League, over the weekend. That’s not a great series, but it is a good one. The Angels won a weekend series against the Seattle Mariners, which is good, but hardly anything special. The Angels then won the opener of this series on Monday night. Give a small edge to Los Angeles here.
With Nathan Eovaldi on the mound in this game Wednesday, the Yankees have a very mysterious pitcher. If you look at his last two starts, he’s gone six innings and given up two runs in each, giving up only five hits in one of those starts and three in the other. That’s very strong. On the other hand, in his previous start, he gave up eight runs without getting out of the first inning. So, in June, the stats say that Eovaldi has a 5.76 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP. That’s terrible, but you can see that the numbers are influenced by one absolutely awful inning in a start from hell. How much do you put into that start if you’re a bettor? Earlier this season, Eovaldi faced the Angels in a home game at Yankee Stadium. His line? Five and 1/3 innings, four hits, only one run, but four walks. He pitched out of trouble, but he got into a lot of trouble. If he gets into a lot of trouble again here, the Angels might make him pay.
Los Angeles will give the ball to Matt Shoemaker, who – like Eovaldi – is very inconsistent. His most recent start? Six innings and two runs allowed, a lot like Eovaldi. His previous two starts? An average of 4.5 runs allowed on an average of seven hits in a total of 9 2/3 innings. That’s not very encouraging, but he didn’t have an aborted start such as Eovaldi’s (failing to get out of the first inning). His overall ERA is 5.03, while Eovaldi’s ERA is 4.81. His WHIP in June was 1.36, slightly below Eovaldi. This is a wash.
What’s The Pick?
The Yankees are the MLB pick here. New York’s offense has steadily produced this season, covering up the weak ERA of the starting rotation. The Yankees were quiet on Monday in a loss, so their bounce-back prospects look strong here.
MLB Pick: Yankees at GT Bets