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Daily Upset Alert: MLB Moneyline Underdog Picks

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Daily Upset Alert: MLB Moneyline Underdog Picks
Kyle Freeland (21) of the Colorado Rockies. Tom Pennington/Getty Images/AFP

We’re in the early stages of baseball’s beautiful return despite some bumps with COVID-19 scares. We have your daily upset alert on the MLB money lines here. 

Saturday’s slate has eight games scheduled and we have two excellent underdog bets to score on. 

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

Saturday, August 01, 2020 – 08:10 PM EDT at Coors Field

Probable Pitchers

  • San Diego: Joey Lucchesi (0-0 4.91 ERA)
  • Colorado: Kyle Freeland (1-0 3.00 ERA)

Two surprisingly competitive NL teams thus far with a combined nine wins entering Friday night's games are the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies. The Rockies have been producing quality returns for betters despite going under in four of five contests. This should be the series where their bats come more alive thanks to the pitching matchup.

The Padres have allowed the 19th-best average against thus far despite having an otherwise above-average defensive profile. Their bats have been hot, but facing Kyle Freeland on Saturday is a tough one. Freeland looked more like his more impressive 2018 self in his first start of the year as opposed to the struggling version of 2019.

Eric Hosmer's illness status is another strike against San Diego here; can they replace a bat that was hitting well, especially against a left-handed pitcher? I have my doubts. 

Meanwhile I like Colorado's matchup with Lucchesi. The lefty was wild in his first start of the year, and he couldn't escape the fourth inning. Though Colorado's been below-average on offense they still have a great home field advantage, and they'll rack runs up quickly if Lucchesi has the same lack of control as last week.

Colorado's won four of their last five games against the Padres at home, and have hit the over eight straight home meetings. For my MLB picks, I like the Rockies +110 at BetOnline. (Visit our BetOnline review).

Rockies+110
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Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins

Saturday, August 01, 2020 - 07:10 PM EDT at Target Field

Probable Pitchers

  • Minnesota: Kenta Maeda (1-0 3.60 ERA)
  • Cleveland: Carlos Carrasco (1-0 3.00 ERA)

This is a matchup of two opposites to this point in the season. Cleveland's pitching has been insanely good thus far, ranking second in runs per nine innings, average allowed and strikeouts. Carlos Carrasco is maybe their second-best pitcher, but he has ace qualities. Especially with James Karinchak emerging as a potential closer over the declining Brad Hand, this rotation and bullpen is lethal.

They've struggled on offense with runs but have done just enough to continue winning. Though Minnesota has done well to limit runs, the rest of their numbers indicate they've been lucky with balls put in play. The Indians have the ability to turn that luck.

Kenta Maeda has been largely average his entire career, and that's not good news in this extremely important matchup. He must outduel Carrasco since the Indians will surely limit runs allowed. The Twins have been too dependant on home runs, so I'm going with the team with the ability to stack hits. I'm taking the Indians +110 at Bovada. (Visit our Bovada Review).

Indians+110
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