Daily Pitching Report for Thursday, July 31st

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, July 31, 2014 3:38 PM GMT

Who will have the MLB betting edge when a couple of formidable southpaws (Clif Lee/Gio Gonzalez) collide tonight? Will the Marlins Tom Koehler be able to hold his own when facing the Reds star Johnny Cueto? Read our informative MLB handicapping article in order to get these answers and we’ll provide you with the best possible MLB betting edge this evening.


 

Philadelphia Phillies (Lee) @ Washington Nationals (Gonzalez) 7:05 PM ET
The Phillies starter Cliff Lee has really struggled in his 2-starts since returning from over a 2-month stay on the disabled list. In those pair of outings he’s posted a large 7.59 ERA and monster 2.25 WHIP while going 0-2 against the money. The Phillies veteran southpaw has seen 6 of his last 7-starts go over the total, and has gone a dismal 1-5 against the money in his last 6-appearances. Lee has gone 1-3 against the money since the start of the 2013 campaign when facing the Nationals despite compiling a respectable 3.21 ERA.

The Nationals starter Gio Gonzalez has a superb body of work over his previous 6-starts posting a 1.66 ERA. The southpaw has gone 6-1 against the money at home in 2014, and earned +4.4 MLB betting units. Since the start of last season, Gonzalez has gone 3-2 against the money versus the Phillies, and posted a stellar 2.42 ERA.

Advantage
The clear betting edge in the starting pitching area of this game goes to Gio Gonzales of the Nationals over Cliff Lee of the Phillies.

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Cincinnati Reds (Cueto) @ Miami Marlins (Koehler) 7:10 PM ET
The Reds starter Johnny Cueto is having a terrific season despite his record against the money being not as impressive as his performance line indicates. The Reds right-hander has gone just 13-9 against the money in 2014, but has a superb 2.08 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in those outings. Cueto has gone just 4-6 against the money on the road this season, and has lost 2.4 MLB betting units. However, he still has a very good 2.47 ERA in those 10-starts on the road. The Reds hard throwing hurler has struggled in his 4 career starts on the road versus the Marlins. In those 4-outings in South Florida, he’s amassed an unimpressive 7.08 ERA, and mammoth 2.06 WHIP.

The Marlins starter Tom Koehler has been solid in 9 home starts this season. In those outing he’s compiled a sparkling 2.75 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. The Marlins right-hander has gone 10-11 against the money in 2014, but has earned +1.4 MLB betting units in doing so. This will be Koehler’s first career start versus the Reds.

Advantage
If you were choosing sides, and were given the choice of picking one of these two pitchers, I would venture to say that the majority of sane individuals would certainly opt for Johnny Cueto. However, I’m handicapping one game in an isolated situation, and in turn being asked for my professional opinion on who has the MLB betting edge regarding the starting pitching facet of the equation with an MLB betting pick in mind. Given that Reds have struggled to score runs for awhile now, the fact that Cueto has struggled when pitching in South Florida, while Koehler has pitched superbly at home, and the Marlins have been playing very good baseball over the past two weeks. I have to give a slight edge to Tom Koehler over Jonny Cueto.

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