Daily Pitching Report for Thursday 9/4

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, September 4, 2014 1:58 PM GMT

Our MLB betting odds guru examines a couple of very competitive starting pitching matchups for tonight. Read who gets his MLB wagering edges in the games between the Tigers/Indians and Cardinals/Brewers.

Tigers vs. Indians 7:05 PM ET
The Tigers will start 2013 AL Cy Young winner Max Scherzer tonight. The Tigers ace has been ineffective over his last 3-starts posting a lofty 5.78 ERA, and all 3 of those outings went over the total. Although his numbers aren’t as dominating as they were a season ago, they’re still pretty good nonetheless. He’s gone 19-9 against the money with a solid 3.26 ERA and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Scherzer is 1-2 against the money versus the Indians in 2014, with a lofty 4.82 ERA, and a 1.72 WHIP.

The Indians will go with right-hander Trevor Bauer for the final contest of this 4-game series. The Indians hurler has gone 4-0 against the money in his last 4-starts, with a stellar 2.59 ERA, and that includes not allowing any earned runs in his last 2-outings. Bauer has gone 8-3 against the money at home this season with a very good 3.07 ERA. He’s faced the Tigers on 3 occasions in 2014, posted a 4.42 ERA, and the Indians went 2-1 in those 3-games.

Advantage: It’s desperate times right now for Indians in terms of their playoff chances. I like the way Bauer has looked over his last couple of starts, and he’s been very steady at home in 2014. Max Scherzer needs to return back to good form, before I’m willing to take a chance on him as a road favorite versus a quality opponent. It probably will be surprising to most, but my betting edge tonight goes to Bauer over Scherzer.

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Cardinals vs. Brewers 8:10 PM ET
The Cardinals will trot Michael Wacha out to the mound today. Wacha will be making his first start since being placed on the disabled list on June 18th with a strained right shoulder. He’s pitched much better than his 6-9 record against the money line this season would indicate. In those 15-starts he’s posted a stellar 2.79 ERA. The Cardinals hurler has gone a dismal 0-7 against the money on the road this season, despite posting a respectable 3.40 ERA in those outings.

The Brewers will counter with right-hander Wily Peralta for the opening game of this critical series between the top 2 teams in the NL Central. Peralta has really struggled over his last 2-starts, posting a horrible 14.63 ERA, and 2.63 WHIP. The good news is, the Brewers pitcher has gone 3-0 against the money versus St. Louis this season, and had an excellent 1.35 ERA in doing so. Peralta has gone 11-3 against the money at home the past 2-seasons when facing an opponent with a winning record.

Advantage: Due to the fact that Michael Wacha will be making his first start since June 17th and Wily Peralta’s success versus the Cardinals in 2014, when considering your MLB picks I’m going to give a very slight edge to the Brewers right-hander. The edge would be much larger, but I’m a bit leery due to the ineptness that Peralta has shown in his previous 2-starts.

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